熊傲君：特朗普变脸如变天，多头再度“急刹车”
2018.04.13黄金策略
昨日回顾：昨日金价出现大逆转，此前大幅爆发，由于避险情绪一度拉高至1365一线附近，不过随后收线回至1345一线，而昨日，金价空头却出现大逆袭，重新大跌回前期的上涨处，并一举跌破1340支撑，行情犹如过山车走势，这种状况大度是出自于避险情绪的消退，快进快去，所以金价回撤速度极为惊人，昨日最低下探至1333附近后，早间出现小幅反弹，目前在1340一线附近，周五走势若能重现多头，下周依旧是良机。
消息面：昨日公布的数据作用依旧有限，初请虽然利多，但数据依旧靓丽，只是小幅不及预期，金价反应也是不大，相反后市继续回落，关键在于是避险的减退。特朗普清晨发文，“从来没有说过什么时候会发生对叙利亚的袭击。可能很快，也可能不会这么快！”贸易立场也似乎出现大反转，特朗普表示考虑重新加入TPP，美叙紧张局势出现缓和，市场避险情绪尽散，金价出现迅速的高位回来。
今日展望：由于多空反复交战，昨日大跌回来后，技术面再次形成纠结之势，现阶段大方向依旧尚未站稳，还需持续等待才有客观的方向。不过观点依旧，未破坏依据之前宜应坚持计划，只能说避险带来的涨幅依旧不稳定，来的快去得也快，所以还是希望未来在趋势上能够更加明朗化。短线上，周三涨，周四跌，那么周五震荡则更为合理了，早间小幅反弹至1340一线后依旧受压，所以目前可能还是低位修正阶段，宜等待欧盘的强弱定夺，一旦欧盘能够破位亚盘高点，那么多单会再次介入，上看1347-1350一线，反之若欧盘再破昨日低点，那么后市恐防测试1325-1330区域。
从现货黄金4小时图看：金价再现过山车，多空一日游，此情此景毫无技术依托，暗示未来走势仍是偏震荡，至少要等待真正的趋势站稳，现阶段均线组表现较为纠结，这是由于行情反复太大所致，指标上形成背离走势，恐怕也会导致行情继续震荡偏弱一线，所以短期还是建议先关注欧盘强弱，日内节奏做美盘，另外周五收官阶段也需要注意幅度的呈现。
操作建议： 1300-1320长线多单继续耐心持有，今年目标依旧是1400上方，加息已过，继续轻仓持有即可（本月有望到达）。短线今天建议关注大区间1325-1345，若欧盘无强弱可关注1332-1342区间。
熊傲君简介：
现任大田环球金业特约分析师，著名分析师，多次受邀汇通财经集团及中金在线等大型财经媒体采访报导。 擅长各种杠杆交易品种分析，熟知庄家博弈和市场心理，独创“LP（law and psychology）”交易方法。对时间节奏的把控和局部高低点捕捉极淮。
本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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