熊傲君：大涨后回落修正，市场静候周五
2018.03.08黄金策略
昨日回顾：昨日金价并没有延续周二的涨势，反而在节奏点当中出现大幅回落，而且修正力度较大，几乎补回周二涨幅，早间出现跳涨至1340附近一线后回落，并且欧盘继续走出新低，导致美盘回落的可能性加大，加上昨天的数据继续表现上佳，市场避险情绪进一步消退的情况下，金价的下行也是得以加快，隔夜最低跌回至1322一线附近，尽管没有吞完整波涨幅，但是这样的下跌速率意味着基本非农前难以再打开方向，早间亚盘波动不大，预料日内幅度亦是有限。
消息面：美联储于昨日发布经济褐皮书，。其中提到，美国劳动力市场收紧，使得美国大部分地区的工资水平在2月下旬都在上涨，另外，白宫首席经济顾问科恩忍无可忍拂袖而去，一度对全球投资者的情绪造成了巨大冲击。不过，到了3月7日，美国政府高官纷纷再度出面给特朗普打圆场，这在一定程度上平抑了市场恐慌。晚间将迎来初请失业金数据以及欧央行利率决议，届时德拉基也会出席新闻发布会，关注欧元区方面货币政策动态。
今日展望：金价昨日回跌空间较大，那么就不是极强单边走势，因此今天多头也难有大起色，所以目前要继续以震荡思路对待，整体长线还是看涨，但是短期明显还是受到加息和利空数据打压，所以短线上还是观察日内节奏再考虑操作，比方说目前价格在1325-1330，欧盘若站稳1330上方，我们再低多进场，晚间做1330-1340的空间，若欧盘继续走弱破回1325下方，那么晚间可能要做1315-1325的高空操作。
从现货黄金4小时图看：金价目前多头的瓶颈位在于1341上方，需要等待后市确认破位才能延续，目前更像处于震荡筑底行情，稍后欧盘时段重点关注1330一线反压，若欧盘再度走强，我们依旧要考虑多单，目前短期均线组陷入纠结状态，频繁交替，下方MACD指标日内能否拉回金叉也是关键所在，若能再次破高，这波多头走势才算是真正的发力信号。
操作建议： 1300-1320长线多单拿着，今年目标依旧是1400上方，加息前若有回调依旧可以进场。加息前预料还会有一次探低机会，想跟进的不要再错过了。
本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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