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林幽沃:非农前维持震荡,黄金关注1335-1348区间

美联储今日凌晨公布2018年第一次议息利率决议结果,本次利率决议维持利率不变,耶伦将在本周卸任,新任美联储主席鲍威尔将上任,声明中指出将会平滑过渡并维持货币政策的延续性。另一方面指出,通胀预期指标基本持平,失业率处于低位。当前在就业、支出、投资三个方面都已经得到强化,令三月加息概率增加到90%以上,美元一度走强。

林幽沃:非农前维持震荡,黄金关注1335 1348区间

黄金受美元一度走强影响,短时间内下跌超7美元幅度,最低回落至1332美元/盎司附近。但后市由于触碰重要支撑,黄金迅速收复跌幅并创出日内新高1347.3美元/盎司,整体走势呈宽幅震荡。受消息影响,黄金一度刺穿近期重要支撑1335美元/盎司,但最终实体始终收于1335上方,说明震荡区间低位在于1335美元/盎司一线。

区间上方压力更为明显,前期起跌区间于1348-1356,在跌破1348美元/盎司后成为现时主要压力,加上此前两日的行情多次触碰到1348美元/盎司附近后开始回落,该位置有望成为非农行情的主要看点。

操作方面,以1335-1348区间震荡作为主要交易策略,如需延伸至非农行情中,看多则尽量靠近1335-37做多,止损5美元,看空则1345-48做空,止损5美元。第一目标皆看至区间高低点,进一步目标则需趋势完全走出后再论。


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