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熊傲君:美联储欢送耶伦,市场静待非农

2018.02.01黄金策略

昨日回顾:昨日金价走势保持震荡为主,由于晚间是利率决议的公布,因此市场较为宁静,小非农数据虽然表现上佳,但对于金价的影响非常有限,晚间整体幅度在5美元左右,早盘走出探底回升,但是欧盘并没有走强延续,因此限定了美盘的发挥,而凌晨时段,利率决议公布后,金价出现了一波继续探底回升的扫盘行情,最低跌至1332附近后迅速反弹拉回至1340上方,现阶段整体走势仍陷入震荡的局面。

消息面:超级周的到来暂时并没有给市场及行情走出方向,我们可能再次碰上一个假的超级周了,特朗普的讲话平平无奇,美联储利率决议保持中性欢送耶伦,小非农靓丽难致美元反弹,现在只剩下今晚的耐用品订单数据以及周五的非农,若这两个数据依旧无法导致金价走出方向,那这个所谓的超级周还是挺无聊。

今日展望:由于昨晚探底回升,留下了长下影线,因此我们依旧确信下方支撑的强大,1330-1335区间的支撑非常顽固,而且反弹迅速,代表多头依旧有很多的力度,现阶段金价围绕1340-1345区间波动,我们可以以此判定欧盘的方向选择,若欧盘出现走弱重回1340下方,那么晚间有望再次测试1335一线支撑,若欧盘走强破位1345,那短期至少测试上方的1349一线反压,一旦继续破位,那么方向就已经出来了。

熊傲君:美联储欢送耶伦,市场静待非农从现货黄金4小时图看:金价目前仍在上行趋势线的上方,并且以横盘的方式破位了上方的趋势线反压,横盘还有一个好处就是磨掉技术指标的修正空间,现阶段均线组呈现粘合纠结状态,MACD指标死叉修正中,可能从指标的角度还需要震荡一段时间再能走出方向,因此操作上暂建议关注1335-1345区间高抛低吸,等待破位顺势跟进。


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