王垣鑫：周线布局再获利，继续持有
昨日早间布局两张单子，一张为反弹至周线ma5附近进场做空，入场区间为1280-1282均价保持在1281附近，止损1285上方，目标1276-1277、1274、1267；第二张为1266-1267区间进场做多，止损1263下方，目标1270、1276；
来到今天欧盘，均价1281的空单已经到达第一目标，减仓之后继续持有，周初金价走势与预期基本相符，由于1h到D1级别里面kdj基本都走至低位，虽说趋势看空但只要指标没走好有调整需求的话，那么下跌的幅度必定会受到限制，因此在昨日早间并没有直接进场去做空而是布局高位的空单。
根据过去两年来的走势其实我们不难发现一个规律就是，当近年末的时候，10月中上旬，2015及2016年金价为日线级别小幅反弹走势，到10月下旬开始2015及2016年都是开启一轮大幅下跌的走势，这个下跌过程一直持续到12月中旬议息会议前后，并于明年第一季度开始重新起涨。
因此这一张反弹空单其实就是有布局这一轮新跌势的意图，但是是以一种以小博大的操作方法，先以短线思路进场，一旦获利空间超过了10美元则可减仓继续持有拿成中线单子，本轮下跌空间有希望可到1200一线，换言之这张短线空单若真能拿成中线的话，预计最大获利空间达80美元，中间1230可以再减仓或者下移止损，到达1200一线或者时间到达12月中旬议息会议前后稳健可以选择离场。
至于今日的思路无疑还是放在昨天两张布局单的思路上， 上方周线承压金价回落，下方1267一线为日线级别今年1月底，3月头，5月头低点趋势的支撑位置，上月非农亦是在此趋势线上受支撑起反弹，因此后市再次触碰可以进场做反弹，但是注意仓位，毕竟按以往行情来看今年剩余时间多方是凶多吉少，个别点位可以多但风险还是比较大的，所以近期下方暂时只建议在这条长期上行趋势线的支撑位置上可以考虑做多，欧盘到美盘前或许或有小幅反弹，但1h级别ma5已经完全拐头下行，所以反弹幅度暂时只看到ma5附近，因此有抢反弹单子的朋友需谨慎。
本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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