美原油库存增速急剧放缓
关键词:美原油库存增速急剧放缓
美国能源信息署(EIA)周三的数据显示,截至4月10日当周,美国EIA原油库存增加129.4万桶,为今年来最小周度升幅,且低于市场预估为增加405.7万桶。美国原油期货周三(4月15日)上涨3.10美元,涨幅5.82%,收报56.39美元/桶。
EIA周一公布,美国5月页岩油日产量料将较4月下降4.5万桶至498万桶,为四年多以来首次月度下降。
油服贝克休斯公司(BakerHughes)数据显示,美国石油钻井机数量已经降至2010年最低水平,意味着产量峰值即将到来。
高盛(GoldmanSaches)表示,在钻井平台数量出现创纪录下跌之际,美国原油产量和库存本月可能触顶。结束季节性维护的炼油厂到7月份有望把日需求增加约50万桶,帮助缓解85年来最严重的供应过剩局面。
惠誉(Fitch)原油和天然气研究主管AlexGriffiths称,原油价格要回升到80美元/桶将需要一段时间,供需面体现出了目前的油价水平。他表示,从基本面来看,80美元/桶的油价将是比较合理的。随着页岩油产量放缓,今年晚些时候原油价格将有相对比较快速的复苏,从二季度到三季度通常有季节性需求增长,增加大约150万桶/天。
不过,国际能源署(IEA)周三发布报告称,2015年全球石油需求增长速度将远超预期,主要受气温下降以及全球经济形势稳步改善提振;尽管需求出现了上升迹象,但由于石油输出国组织(OPEC)的供给飙升和伊朗原油出口可能增长,国际油市可能需要比预期更长时间才会收紧,即便是需求出现了走坚迹象。
IEA报告称,石油输出国组织(OPEC)3月份产量增加89万桶/日,达到近两年高点3102万桶/日,因沙特产量达到纪录高位,且伊拉克和利比亚恢复了石油供应。
IEA将对2015年石油需求的预期上调9万桶/日,至9,360万桶/日,较去年增加110万桶/日。
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本文来源: 大田环球贵金属
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