美元走强 现货黄金反弹乏力
关键字：本日现货黄金价格走势
【基本面分析】
上周五出炉的欧元区数据不及理想预期，德国5月IFO商业景气指数为110.4，低于市场预期110.9，为今年迄今最低水平，且不及经济学家预期。IFO称，5月德国经济表现低迷，德国经济数据表现不佳打击了欧元多头信心，数据公布后欧元迅速下跌，美元被动上涨。
日本央行行长黑田东彦日前表示，央行仍具有政策选项，以便在必要时进一步放宽货币政策，消除风险以利於通胀目标的达成。黑田东彦重申他的观点称，作为世界第三大经济体的日本，正在实现2%央行通胀率目标的道路上稳步前行，3月核心消费者物价指数连续第四个月达到1.3%。美元对日元汇价继续反弹，日央行行长黑田东彦讲话后，美元受益一直持上行格局，打压黄金做多势头。
关注印度的实物黄金消费方面，在印度人民党迪拜当选后，投资者普通预期印度黄金进口政策将放宽，提振印度的实物黄金需求，印度国内黄金现货贴水从5月21日的80美元/盎司下降至22日为20美元/盎司，此后一直下降，随后回升到40美元。
【技术分析】
日线图上，国际金价结合前段时间来看，形成了标准的三角形整理区间，若金价能站上1300则可视作看多信号，上方进一步阻力位为1305，若跌破1280可转为看空，下方目标为1268。长期来看适宜持有并观望。从周线行情来看，国际金价在此三角区间盘整了七周的时间,上周行情最终又收线在了开盘的原点1292附近，以一根标准十字形态收尾,而这样的形态和盘整周期下,也就意味着本周只要破位三角整理，现货黄金行情必然会给出一个大的方向。
【本日操作建议】
做多：开仓1285，止损1280，目标1295。
做空：开仓1302，止损1306，目标1290。
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本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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