现货黄金短期无明朗方向 对冲基金保持看空
关键字：本日现货黄金价格走势
【行情回顾】
本日亚市早盘，国际现货黄金走势平淡，日内波幅不超4美元，在经历周日的乌克兰大选和欧洲议会选举后，黄金进入短区间整理，反映为市场情绪谨慎，虽没有明显的避险需求指引金价走势，金价也处于1290上方，说明金价下档部分存在相对强势的支撑力，上方则受美国房屋数据提振美元走强，资金流入高风险资产而缺乏有效反弹，故国际金价尚无明显前进方向。
【基本面分析】
由于美国于5月23日公布的4月新屋销售数据表现靓丽，提振美元和带动美股走强，其中标普500指数上周五创下纪录收盘新高，地产股明显拉升，道琼工业指数收涨63.19点，或0.38%，至16,606.27点；标准普尔500指数收高8.04点，或0.42%，至1,900.53点。Nasdaq指数上扬31.466点，或0.76%，至4,185.808点。5月19-23日当周道指升0.7%，标普500指数升1.2%，Nasdaq指数大涨2.3%。
近日美债价格出现走强，因市场避险需求引发，而黄金往往与美债价格呈正相关，自4月以来美国债市温度不减，而黄金升势则趋缓，随著长期国债价格触及2012年跌势的61.8%回挡位，美国国债价格的走弱将增加黄金的下行压力。
美国商品期货交易委员会5月23日公布周度报告显示，5月20日当周对冲基金继续削减了黄金净多头头寸，黄金投机净多头头寸减少3971张合约，至90358张合约,但增持了铜矿的净多头,投机净多头头寸增加5613张合约，至18787张合约。全球最大的黄金ETF·SPDR在少见的增持之后，随着黄金现货价格因乌克兰地缘局势引发的宽幅震荡，近期的持仓并未有明显的举动,不过可以看到黄金基金在截至26日的持仓中，其持仓量为776.89吨,近期小幅减持3.3吨,综合来看黄金基金看淡黄金后市有所改观。
【技术分析】
日线图上，国际金价于上周五以一根小阴线收尾，整体上呈现连续七周的三角形整理局势，在行情尚未破位前，继续保持区间震荡，短周期均线系统粘合整理，受60日和200日均线的压制和支撑，短期内没明显的做单方向，操作上建议逢低做多为主。
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本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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