现货黄金持续回调 等待破位行情
关键字：本日现货黄金价格走势
【基本面分析】
昨日受到市场关注的乌克兰大选已经结束，亿万富翁糖果业大亨波罗申科在总统大选中击败包括前任经理季莫申科在内的多名竞争对手获胜，随后，波罗申科在新闻发布会中表示，当选总统后，他的首要使命是让乌克兰“结束战争、带来和平”，他也强调，乌克兰永远不承认克里米亚的公投结果。这样也将给未来乌俄之间的关系产生一定负面影响。不过俄罗斯总统普京在5月23日表示，承认乌克兰大选的结果，这样看来普京无意对乌克兰政府实施太多军事压力，助于缓解乌克兰国内的紧张局势。因此市场避险情绪有所降温，黄金白银等贵金属维持窄幅震荡。
本周的美国第一季度GDP修正值将是最大的风险事件，市场预期年率将收缩0.5%。若结果不及预期，或打压美元反弹势力，维持低利率预期，刺激黄金走强。
据路透社最新的调查数据显示，本周金价走势的判断为大多数人看跌，在接受访问调查的27名交易员和注册分析师中，9人看涨(33.34%)，11人看跌(40.74%)，7人看平(25.96%)。自当月以来黄金市场交投趋平淡，市场原期待美联储近日公布的会议纪要能给市场一些指引，但这一希望因美联储态度不明而落空。由于美国通胀温和上升，同时美国就业和房产数据良好，增强了机构看空金市的预期。黄金多头为来自亚洲实物黄金需求看好的一方，印度莫迪当选总理料将支持放宽黄金进口政策，另外中国投资者对黄金需求依然旺盛，在2014年上半年全球黄金需求减少的情况下，中国金饰品的需求逆势增长了10%。
【技术分析】
日线图上看，国际金价目前显然陷入区间震荡，下破行情仍在等待基本面事件的触发，上方心理阻力位继续为1300，附图指标MACD随机指标向下，布林通道中金价处于中轨附近，短期均线走平，操作上可在1295以上位置轻仓做空。
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本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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