联储言论偏向鹰派 现货黄金再度下挫
关键字：现货黄金走势
【行情回顾】
欧洲盘前，伦敦金总体走势相当平稳，由于黄金昨日再次上攻1300关口失败，多头信心有所缺失，因此今日亚洲早盘中，现货黄金主要以盘整为主。虽然近日地缘政治因素对黄金走势有所支撑，但是美联储的鹰派言论也同样对黄金造成利空。因此，黄金在上有压力，下有支撑的情况下做出震荡整理。
【基本面分析】
美联储两位高级官员威廉姆斯斯和费舍尔近日表示，美联储的超宽松货币政策如果实施的时间过长，从长期而言可能产生不利后果，不过最大的风险并非通胀失控。
而前美联储主席伯南克5月19日在参加一场货币政策会议时表示，美联储货币政策正常化时机到来时，没有必要缩减资产负债表。在美联储宽松政策的影响下，股市的走高确实导致了资本升值速度大大高于劳动者的薪酬收入增幅，但一些观察人士在对总体经济状况进行解读时却将这一因素的影响蓄意夸大。而事实上，美联储的宽松政策措施并非只是如他们所言那样造成了“劫贫济富”的结果。但无可否认的是，现在美联储对何时推出QE和让货币政策正常化之间出现了分歧，因此也导致了近期黄金价格出现了幅度极小的波动。
【技术分析】
由黄金日K线图上看，黄金已经有将近一个月的时间在1280-1310区间窄幅震荡，而且由时间窗口上看，这种震荡区间极小的窄幅震荡持续时间将不会太长。而另一方面，由技术层面上看，布林线三线持续走平，喇叭口处于较为完全的收窄状态当中，同时，现货黄金的三角形整理形态已经处于末端走势。综上所述，黄金在这次的变盘之后，将会迎来一波幅度较大的行情，现在所欠缺的，仅仅是引发黄金做出选择的契机而已。
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本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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