现货黄金维持区间震荡 市场情绪谨慎
关键字:本日现货黄金价格走势
【行情回顾】
本日亚盘时段,国际现货黄金价格继昨夜震荡回调后,本日继续趋于下行,盘面最低价暂录得1287.68美元,因受到本日凌晨时段美国旧金山联储主席威廉姆称美联储将于本年晚些时候停止量化宽松政策的利空消息推动,早间亚市还处于消化阶段,国际金价一度跌破日内均线,随后被拉回1290上方,反映多头正尝试打破窄幅震荡格局。
【基本面分析】
由于缺少了俄罗斯的进一步涉入,乌克兰危机对於金融市场的影响力已经明显降低了。在普京下令从乌俄边境撤军后,即便乌方再度公布了24人的伤亡数字,显示国内局势仍然紧张,金融市场仍不为所动。昨日黄金冲高回落,收盘几乎与开盘价持平。
乌克兰将于 5月25日举行总统选举,俄罗斯将数以万计的军队部署在乌克兰分裂势力声称独立的地区的边境,美国白宫发言人卡尼昨日表示,尽管克里姆林宫声明已经下令俄罗斯军队撤回基地,但没有看到任何迹象显示俄军队撤离俄罗斯同乌克兰的边境。
关於美联储何时首次加息,从不同的美联储官员陆续发表的言论来看,即便联储内部对于该问题的分歧仍然较大,而各委员对于加息的预期中值目前仍维持在2015年中段左右。
美国较长期公债收益率上涨,侧面反映市场风险情绪偏强,昨日美股也于高位交投震荡,美元上行潜力增加,黄金作为避险的对冲工具吸引力下滑,故本日亚市在无重大消息面的推动下,黄金买盘继续减少。
本日经济数据和事件上主要关注美联储官员言论,日内经济数据关注英国通胀包括CPI/PPI零售物价指数。事件上有费城联储主席普罗索就经济前景讲话、美联储副主席候选人费希尔提名将在美参议院进行初步投票,料能顺利过关。消息面清淡之际,关注全球股指表现,因昨日美股开盘后国际金价一直承压下行至1292美元/盎司。
【技术分析】
从日线图上看,国际金价多条均线交错粘合,附图指标MACD红色动能柱减少,快慢线走平,反弹动能变弱,KDJ指标偏弱,金叉尚未完成,小时图上,均线走平进行盘整,反映多空操作谨慎,欧盘时段若反弹可高位做空。
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本文来源: 大田环球贵金属
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