地缘政治问题仍存 现货黄金或能受益
关键字：现货黄金行情
【行情回顾】
亚洲盘中，黄金交投较为清淡，早盘时段伦敦金行情仍然维持在1295压力位一线窄幅震荡，尚未有明确的上攻趋势。虽然近期由技术上看，黄金的走势不算太过理想，但是由于地缘政治危机频发，因此黄金有望再短期内受益于避险需求。
【基本面分析】
根据外媒最新消息，利比亚政局不稳，内乱事件持续发酵。利比亚军方军事警察部队司令穆赫塔尔·费尔纳纳18日宣布解散国民议会，并由制宪委员会代行议会职能，同时现政府留任至新一届议会选举举行。
而利比亚国民议会议长阿布·萨赫明发布命令，要求一支民兵武装进入的黎波里，保卫首都安全。当天，阿布·萨赫明以利比亚军队最高领导人的身份签发了这一命令，并在利比亚军队总参谋部的官方网页上公布。这份命令称，鉴于班加西、的黎波里的当前局势，以及有人破坏民主进程、试图以暴力掌权、威胁国家安全的情况，议长兼利比亚军队最高领导人要求“利比亚之盾中部地区旅”的武装人员即日起向的黎波里集结，保护首都的出入口、政府机关和重要设施。由于军方和议会各不想让，短期内利比亚乱局恐怕难以平息，避险需求有望提振黄金走势。
【技术分析】
由黄金小时图上看，最近两个交易日，现货黄金均出现过上攻1300整数关口的动作，但是最终仍然无功无返，而国际现货黄金冲高回落之后，也一直没有跌破1290一线位置的震荡区间下轨，所以黄金近期的走势被压缩在一个极窄的区间当中，黄金震荡区间的压缩，说明黄金离方向性选择的时间已经越来越短。由于近期地缘政治事件频发，而美联储方面尚未有明确缩减QE规模和加息的时间表，预计短期内黄金主要以震荡上扬为主。
【操作建议】
做多：开仓1290 止盈1298 止损1283
做空：开仓1307 止盈1294 止损1315
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本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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