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中印实物需求萎缩 黄金是否一蹶不振

关键字:中国印度黄金需求

有数据显示,今年4月印度黄金进口同比大幅下降74%至17.5亿美元。

2013年4月,印度进口黄金67.8亿美元。而今年3月,印度进口黄金27.5亿美元,同比下降17.27%。

要知道,印度人对黄金的热爱可是人类无法理解的,如果连印度人都不爱黄金了,那黄金凭什么让我们爱你呢?

而前一阵子出炉的中国一季度黄金产销数据也反应需求疲软的状况:产量一直在增加,而消费几乎没有增长。这或许可以为黄金在千三上上下下的原因。但要说黄金此后就一蹶不振,恐怕目前还不能盖棺定论。

毕竟对金价的影响因素中,美联储无疑占了大头,在削减QE这个大利空被市场消化后,黄金开始逐步反弹。

当前黄金之所以陷入盘整,原因很大程度上要归结于市场等待美联储的下一步动作(加息)。

美国不可能永远保持低利率,这点是市场的共识,分歧在于何时加息。当然交易者来说,只要别站在美联储对立面就行,因为交易不需要立场,只需顺势而为就好。

中印的需求的确也是需要考量,但融入到交易中,孰轻孰重一目了然。

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