美聯儲短期內不會加息，推動美債收益率
關鍵字：美聯儲短期內不會加息
1月14日，現貨黃金位置穩定變化，但早前鮑威爾表示加息不會很快到來，並反駁了美聯儲可能開始縮減債券購買規模的建議，受此信息影響，現貨黃金曾出現較大漲幅。但拜登即將公佈新一輪計畫，讓美債收益率再度走高。
美聯儲主席鮑威爾表示，如果沒有看到令人不安的通脹和失衡，美聯儲將不會加息。FOMC加息時間點“不會很快到來”。如果美國通脹上升方式不受歡迎，美聯儲可以通過若干政策工具來應對。美聯儲關於利率和資產購買的前瞻指引以政策的效果為依據。現在還不是談論美聯儲退出（資產購買和低利率政策）的時候。
鮑威爾稱，縮減資產購買所引發的市場恐慌凸顯出投資者對債券購買的敏感性。我們知道，美聯儲需要非常謹慎地（向外界）溝通政策，美聯儲的政策將非常透明。我們將讓整個世界明顯地提前知道美聯儲關於縮減購債力度的意圖。再次強調核心PCE的重要性。短期內可能會看到美國物價上揚，但一次性的物價上漲並不意味著持續的通脹。
美聯儲在實現充分就業方面還有很長的路要走。
現貨黃金幾乎回吐日內全部漲幅，在1847美元附近窄幅震盪，紐約時報報導，預計拜登即將公佈新一輪刺激計畫，規模將達1.9萬億美元。消息公佈後，10年期美債收益率漲超5個基點，升至1.136%，這令金價承壓。
市場正等待美國當選總統拜登公佈其刺激計畫的細節。分析師表示，黃金正在盤整，民主黨在參議院取得多數席位讓人們相信，財政刺激計畫更容易付諸實施，這不僅會提振經濟，還給美聯儲加息的理由。
本文來源： 大田環球貴金屬
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