鮑威爾講話帶來嚴重資訊，黃金走出“過山車”
關鍵字：黃金走出“過山車”
8月27日，現貨黃金再度上演過山車行情，短線拉升後快速跳水，由於美聯儲調整政策框架後美債收益率明顯攀升，不過鮑威爾關於若通脹顯著高於平均2%目標將採取行動的說法，讓投資者感到了不安。
鮑威爾在美聯儲年度政策研討會上表示，美聯儲將尋求隨時間推移通脹平均水準達到2％。這一舉措意味著美聯儲將允許出現通脹在某些時期過沖。分析人士稱，美聯儲這種方法可能也表明決策者將保持低利率，這對於不生息的黃金將是一個福音。鮑威爾也提到了一種風險，稱“如果將要產生過度的通貨膨脹壓力，或者通貨膨脹預期要超過與我們的目標相符合的水準，”美聯儲將採取行動。
市場已經普遍預期這一舉措。美聯儲沒有明確承諾將維持低利率多久，也沒有明確承諾將允許通脹上升到多高。美聯儲已經大舉刺激經濟，並將利率維持在接近零的水準，以提振美國經濟免受冠狀病毒的衝擊。投資者認為美聯儲如果沒有比保持低利率更多的措施，僅靠這些政策調整可能不夠改變現狀，在沒有看到更多措施的情況下，黃金的對沖通脹買盤略顯不足。
鮑威爾講話後，美元指數大幅飆升，一度較日低回升逾90點至93.33；三十年期美債收益率一度升至1.50%，為6月24日以來最高；這令金價承壓。分析師表示，鮑威爾關於如果通脹顯著高於平均2%的目標則美聯儲將採取行動的說法可能使投資者受到了驚嚇。
不少機構仍看好黃金前景分析師說：“我們預計金價將保持強勁支撐，因為鮑威爾的言論清楚地反映出，經濟從新冠危機中復蘇將是長期和漸進的，需要央行提供足夠的支持以避免倒退。”
本文來源： 大田環球貴金屬
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