金價小幅回升，金價走勢不明朗
關鍵字：金價小幅回升
9月10日，現貨黃金維持反彈走勢，但本周金價的走勢比較疲弱，雖然全球央行的寬鬆預期對金價構成了比價強力的支撐，但因為市場的風險情緒有所回暖，股市回升，限制金價走高。
週四歐洲央行即將公佈最新的利率決議，除了將存款利率調至負值，歐洲央行還有可能宣佈重啟債券購買計畫，即量化寬鬆QE，以刺激該地區的經濟。
分析稱，週四的歐洲央行利率決策會議很可能是2016年3月以來最引人關注的會議，因為我們正處於經濟問題、政治問題和歐洲央行新行長就任交匯的時間節點。
分析指出，雖然歐洲央行在可預見的未來達不到其通脹目標，但是如果不進一步採取刺激措施，情況可能會更糟，至少現在可以保證通脹率不下滑。
該行研究人員表示，史低的通脹和下沉的增長前景相結合，引發了新興市場降息揣測的爆發。數據顯示，新興市場的消費者價格增長接近至少1990年以來最弱水準。
經濟學家正在觀察商業和消費者信心指標，尋找貿易問題和製造業放緩在更廣泛範圍內影響經濟增長的跡象。最近幾周，經濟指標好壞參半，世界大型企業研究會的消費者信心指數保持堅挺，但密歇根大學的消費者信心指標則表現不佳。
名義和實際利率處於低位或在更長時間內降至更低、全球衰退風險，因貿易緊張局勢而放大、地緣政治分歧局勢加劇，這些因素疊加起來增強了黃金市場的看漲氛圍。
分析師表示，市場很大程度上計入了貿易爭端的後果，但影響似乎沒有預期的那麼大。全球市場會轉向增長資產，避險資產會受到打壓。
本文來源： 大田環球貴金屬
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