無協議脫歐遭封殺，英鎊多頭如何變化
關鍵字：無協議脫歐
英鎊兌美元突破了盤整階段，一度逼近至重要關口，而t特蕾莎的脫歐協議再次遭到議會的拒絕，並且將就排除無協議脫歐和推遲脫歐進行投票，目前市場估計將否決無協議脫歐，支撐英鎊反彈。
若“無協議脫歐”表決通過，英國將於3月29日無協議正式脫離歐盟。若“無協議脫歐”表決未通過，英國下議院將於3月14日就“是否推遲脫歐”進行表決。若表決通過，英國將與歐盟商議，延長“脫歐”談判時間。
在此期間，特雷莎·梅可與歐盟繼續進行協商，然後第三次發起對其“脫歐”協議的表決。而表決之後是不“脫歐”，還是舉行二次公投，抑或是舉行大選，都不得而知。但若表決未通過，英國將於3月29日無協議正式脫離歐盟。
與此同時，美元回落也提振英鎊上行，日內稍晚美國將公佈美國2月生產者物價指數(PPI)及1月耐用品訂單，在英國脫歐主導英鎊走勢的情況下，這兩份數據料難左右匯價。
分析師認為，英鎊未來幾天可能走勢震盪，投資者將關注議會是否會投票否決無協議脫歐，以及第50條是否會延長。在本周結束前批准延長第50條將意味著無協議脫歐的技術風險消退，在這種情境下，英鎊應會有良好表現。
分析師表示，如果英國議員投票反對無協議脫歐的話，英鎊可能攀升超過1%。英國議會週二否決首相特雷莎·梅的脫歐協議，使得本周無協議脫歐被否決幾乎板上釘釘，為延遲脫歐或逆轉脫歐決定鋪平道路。
英國脫歐看起來不太可能對全球經濟造成災難性的打擊，因此對整個外匯市場來說並不那麼重大。
本文來源： 大田環球貴金屬
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