美聯儲成員預計加息,美元走高黃金回吐漲幅
周三(6月23日)美元指數小幅上漲,交易員評估通貨再膨脹交易的前景,推動美債收益率在美國午後交易中攀升至日內高位;由于石油和金屬擴大漲幅,大宗商品相關貨幣在G-10貨幣中領漲。黃金衝高回落,抹去了盤中漲幅,因為美聯儲官員再度發表偏鷹觀點,美元收複日內跌幅轉漲。油價上漲,布倫特原油盤中突破每桶76美元,達到2018年底以來的最高水平,此前數據顯示,隨著旅行活動回升,美國原油庫存下降。
EIA報告:美國上周商業原油庫存減少
截至6月18日當周EIA汽油庫存減少293萬桶,精煉油庫存增加175.4萬桶,上周美國國內原油産量減少10萬桶至1110萬桶/日。除卻戰略儲備的商業原油上周進口694.3萬桶/日,較前一周增加19.7萬桶/日;美國上周原油出口減少23.3萬桶/日至365.1萬桶/日。
兩位美聯儲官員預計加息
達拉斯聯儲主席卡普蘭預計美聯儲將在2022年首次加息。美國經濟可能比人們預期的更早達到美聯儲縮減資産購買規模的門檻;預計美國2021年通脹為3.4%,2022年可能會回落至2.4%。預計2022年通脹溫和,但範圍會變得更加廣泛。
亞特蘭大聯儲主席博斯蒂克也預計美聯儲將在2023年加息兩次,預計2022年就會開始加息。FOMC料將在未來3-4個月就減碼QE做決定。美國經濟顯然處于複蘇軌道之上,接近“取得實質性進展”這一標準。上調美國2021年通脹預期至3.4%。
美聯儲周三逆回購工具使用規模為8136億美元,創曆史新高;此前,已經連續四個交易日超過7000億美元。美國財政部長耶倫稱,財政部可能最早在8月就用盡避免違反美國債務上限的緊急措施,除非國會采取行動避免潛在的“災難性的”違約。
本文來源: 大田環球貴金屬
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