鮑威爾淡化通脹風險，美元走低黃金依舊疲軟
周二(6月22日)美元指數走低，因美聯儲主席鮑威爾告訴國會，貨幣當局不會先發制人加息；資源相關貨幣是G-10貨幣中最大的贏家，而避險貨幣日元走弱。隨著投機和實物需求放緩，現貨黃金小幅下跌，尾盤收報1778.74美元/盎司。原油價格小幅收低，因石油輸出國組織(OPEC)和其盟友組成的OPEC+聯盟討論提高石油産量，盤中布倫特原油兩年多來首次升至每桶75美元上方。
鮑威爾繼續鴿派政策
鮑威爾表示，不會先發制人地加息，供應問題和重新開放經濟意味著，通脹是暫時的，呼籲保持耐心；排除美國重演20世紀70年代通脹突破10%的可能性，美聯儲會致力于實現2%的平均通脹目標。通脹已經在最近數月顯著上揚，5%的通脹環境會讓人無法接受。很難預料具體時間的確切通脹水平，但預計當前水平的通脹不會造成長期性的傷害。預料到了4-5月份的通脹數據，在工作申請方面可能存在速度限制。勞動力市場還有很長的要走，需要繼續提供支持，填補職位空缺需要時間。美國需要實現更具包容性的繁榮。
紐約聯儲將評估未來經濟
紐約聯儲主席威廉姆斯表示，將對未來的數據進行評估以判斷經濟發展。預計美國今年的GDP增速為7%，失業率為4.5%左右。預計2022年美國經濟將增長3%至3.5%。預計明年勞動力市場將繼續複蘇。最近通貨膨脹率的急劇上升只是暫時的，預計明年通脹率將回落至2%左右。減碼時間取決于數據如何演變。我們不會關注一個數字水平或特定的東西，我們關心的是圍繞充分就業和物價穩定目標的所有一系列數據。實現充分就業還有很長的路要走。
本文來源： 大田環球貴金屬
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