美聯儲鴿聲不斷，黃金牛市狂奔
1月31日，人民幣兌美元大幅度走高，限制金價的漲幅。同時美聯儲主席鮑威爾的言論也延續了上一次貨幣決議的鴿派傾向，金價不斷攀升。同時本周非農數據和中美兩國的貿易談判也成為了市場聚焦的重點。
金價終於結束了12月以來的區間波動走勢，在美聯儲會議後，金價攀升至年內新高1323.7美元，可能會繼續受到追捧。金價似乎有望測試2018年五月高點1326美元。
美聯儲將利率維持在2.25-2.50%不變，因為委員會關注的是聯邦基金利率和資產負債表。從本質上講，美聯儲表示他們正處於觀望狀態，但風險不再傾向於進一步加息。美聯儲似乎已經向市場投降，並將在市場做出決定。資產負債表將不再處於自動駕駛狀態。美聯儲表示，他們的資產負債表上有充足的儲備，這意味著他們可以用完這些儲備。
美聯儲還表示，他們將保持耐心，並將認真對待資產負債表的最終結果。消息一出，收益率暴跌，金價得以上漲。由於政府停擺、與中國的貿易談判以及英國脫歐，各方討論的信號相互矛盾，美聯儲保持了增長勢頭。
在供應方面，2018年全年黃金總供應量4490.2噸，同比增長1%。這其中，礦產量3346.9噸，同比增長1%，創下記錄。回收黃金供應量1172.6噸，同比增長1%；在全球各地環保要求越來越嚴格的情況下，黃金礦產行業也受到了不少影響，不少國家的黃金礦產量都出現了大幅走低，印尼產量大跌24%，南非產量大跌18%。不過俄羅斯的黃金礦產量出現了10%的增長。
本文來源： 大田環球貴金屬
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