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邊界問題影響脫歐,貿易隔閡將出現

專家表示,英國與歐盟即便達成最佳的自由貿易協定也無法解決北愛爾蘭與愛爾蘭邊界問題,貿易摩擦仍將存在,而該問題將危及英國的脫歐談判。典型的例子,就是愛爾蘭第二大乳製品加工公司——湖畔乳業的乳製品運輸將耗時更長,過程更繁瑣。

這一例子可以從側面反映出:英國與歐盟的自由貿易協定可能無法解決北愛爾蘭與愛爾蘭的邊界問題,而該問題將危及英國的脫歐談判。

分析師表示,即便在英國脫歐後英國與歐盟試圖避免在邊界建立檢查站,但估計像以前一樣的無縫操作恐怕難以為繼。

英國認為這種問題很好解決。上周英國的國際貿易大臣Liam Fox說,這個問題最好通過與歐盟達成“全面而自由的貿易協定”來解決。英國相信這樣的交易可以讓脫歐後英國與歐盟實現無摩擦貿易。但是專家們卻不敢苟同。

分析師的說法,即便是在反對黨工黨的建議下——英國留在關稅同盟,也不一定能解決邊界問題。他們表示,農產品不會自動被關稅同盟所覆蓋,必須進行檢查以確保符合良好的監管標準。

雖然英國表示可以通過一種所謂的智能邊界將這種干擾降到最低,但是研究人員表示仍然需要建立檢查點和監測點。

鑒於自由貿易協定和技術都無法解決邊界問題,她可能要給予北愛爾蘭相對歐盟的一個特殊地位,或者保持英國的貿易規則與歐盟一直以避免邊界的誕生。麻煩的是,她的支持者們,如倫敦市長詹森(Boris Johnson),應該都不會樂意接受這兩個決定。


本文來源: 大田環球貴金屬

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