市场对后市缺乏信心 现货黄金难有起色
关键字：现货黄金走势
由于市场预计美联储(FED)在6月料将继续削减QE规模，而在周四(4月30日)决议宣布削减QE 100亿美元至450亿美元/月，市场选择性忽略了比预期中要差的美国第一季度GDP数据。而把目光集中在美联储当中，而美联储下一次利率决议将在北京时间6月19日凌晨02:00公布。
而有研究分析指出，由于美联储周三宣布继续缩减购债100亿美元，淡然看待表现不佳的第一季国内生产总值(GDP)数据，对经济前景给出总体乐观的评估，导致市场风险有所提高，同时市场短期内对黄金走势较为缺乏信心，因此黄金短期内仍有出现下挫的可能。
而另一方面，乌克兰媒体30日报道，不明身份武装人员当天清晨占领顿涅茨克州戈尔洛夫卡市的政府大楼，在楼顶悬挂起代表反政府立场的旗帜。代行总统职务的乌克兰议长亚历山大•图尔奇诺夫4月30日宣布，乌克兰武装部队已进入“全面备战”状态，以应对俄罗斯军队可能的入侵行为。可以说，短期内乌克兰事件是支撑黄金上涨的最大因素，也可以说是黄金下跌时的“救命稻草”，但是这“救命稻草”能发挥多大效果，则是一大疑问。
技术分析：
由近期伦敦金行情上看，伦敦金在近日连续下挫当中，接连失守1300关口和多条重要均线，导致均线系统开始呈现空头排列迹象，同时MACD绿柱有放大迹象，说明空头力量有所扩大。我们认为，后市黄金很可能逼近前期1270一线低位，并在该位置进行一波幅度较大的反弹。不过，若1270一线仍不能止住跌势，则黄金很可能陷入空头行情当中。
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本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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