机构冷对黄金短期反弹
关键字：现货黄金走势
虽然近日金价走势较为强悍，但是有相当多的基金依然认为黄金的上涨仅仅是短线反弹，由中长期上看，黄金并不具备持续上涨的因素。因俄罗斯和乌克兰局势恶化，黄金4-5月接连在1277/80水平迸发强劲升势，价格重回千三关口。就连上周五增加28.8万人的非农数据也无法抑制黄金价格的反弹。不过，对冲基金保持对黄金“不待见”的态度。目前对金价最大的支撑来自乌克兰局势，上周乌克兰局势升级带来的避险需求使得非农数据后下跌的金价迅速回升，而机构对此均以看空或者观望态度以作回应，根据黄金ETFs数据显示，截止上周五黄金ETF-SPDR Gold Trust的黄金持仓量约为782.85吨或25,169,478.95盎司，较上一交易日减少2.70吨。而机构的持续减仓，说明短期内机构并不看好黄金，投资者也需要适当关注近期黄金ETF的持仓数量。
技术分析：
由黄金日K线图上看，黄金在收复1300关口之后再度上扬，现在今天最高价格已经逼近60日均线的1315压力位置，KDJ指标在短暂回调之后再度向上发散，虽然开始进入超买区间，但是无碍金价涨势，而且短期内千三关口和布林线中轨形成较强支撑，同时布林线喇叭口收敛迹象已经越发明显，所以近期黄金很可能进行方向性选择，若黄金能突破前期高位1330和布林线上轨压制，黄金有望再度创下近期新高。
操作建议：
做多：开仓1312 止盈1320 止损1300
做空：开仓1317 止盈1305 止损1328
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本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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