重磅数据轮番来袭 黄金走势何去何从
关键字:现货黄金走势
由于本周美国重磅经济数据和美联储(Fed)议息会议结果将陆续发布,投资者都在等待市场释放新的方向性信号。市场焦点都集中在美国方面,而乌克兰地缘政治紧张并未增加避险买盘。
美联储政策制定者将继续削减大规模购债计划,同时也可能宣布加息政策时间。尽管预计美联储与此前立场声明无太大变化,外界仍期待美联储公布具体结果。本周五(5月2日)也值得关注,美国非农数据将公布。
至于美国GDP则在2014年第1季度遭遇严寒天气重创,但第2季度开始经济逐渐回暖。与其它资产相比,美国经济逐步复苏以及放缓削减QE政策削弱了黄金投资吸引力。而另一方面,美联储将于北京时间5月1日凌晨2:00公布利率决议。美联储3月利率决议维持联邦基金利率在0-0.25%不变,并削减购债规模100亿美元至550亿美元。同时,美联储宣布放弃6.5%的失业率为升息的前瞻性指引。美国经济近期依然在回升周期中,特别是制造业和工业生产活动的恢复更加明显,而市场预期美联储在当前环境中不可能放缓缩减QE的步伐。
技术分析:
由黄金日K线上看,黄金先窄幅交投于1290一线,均线系统大多走平,由于近日黄金亚市早盘出现下跌,接连失守5日均线和10日均线,因此黄金短期支撑位置基本宣告失守。由表面上看,黄金空头力量有所增长,而在缺乏利好消息刺激之下,黄金有逐步走低的迹象。而技术指标上,KDJ维持在50位置,而MACD则出现较为明显的钝化迹象,预示市场观望气氛相当浓厚。由于今晚有重磅数据出炉,预计伦敦金市场今晚将会有较大波动,操作预测意义不大,建议投资者在数据出炉之后顺势而为。
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本文来源: 大田环球贵金属
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