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你当前所在页面: 大田环球首页 > 黄金学院 > 分析师专栏 > 王垣鑫:欧央行利率维稳,金价高位大挫后保持震荡

王垣鑫:欧央行利率维稳,金价高位大挫后保持震荡

现货黄金价格于本周三再度到达历史高位下方位置,不过在多次上攻不能进一步突破后,价格直接在短时间内收回本周内所有上涨幅度。昨日早间金价亚盘开盘小幅延续回落走势后,于1970一线受支撑出现反弹,虽然价格最高一度重新回到2000整数大关的上方至2009附近位置,但后市并未能有效站稳,目前于1990-2000区间内进行震荡整理。

王垣鑫:欧央行利率维稳,金价高位大挫后保持震荡

欧洲央行维持利率不变

欧洲央行将以更快速度结束资产购买计划,确保流动性稳定的条件。至少在2024年底之前再投资到期的欧洲央行债券。维持目前的利率水平,直到接近2%的通胀目标。将在4月以每月400亿欧元的速度执行APP,将在5月以每月300亿欧元的速度执行APP,6月以每月200亿欧元的速度执行APP。可能在第三季度结束APP。仍然预计第三轮定向长期再融资操作(TLTRO)将在6月结束。

欧洲央行行长拉加德发表讲话

欧洲央行行长拉加德称欧洲央行将确保流动性状况平稳,欧洲央行将采取一切必要措施来捍卫物价。俄乌冲突是欧洲的分水岭时刻。劳务市场正在改善。长期通胀预期已重新回到目标水平,近期通货膨胀率可能会高得多。通胀率企稳在2%的可能性越来越大。在所有情况下,2024年的通胀率都将稳定在2%左右。除非中期前景发生变化,否则将于第三季度结束资产购买计划。如果前景发生变化,欧洲央行准备更改资产购买计划时间表。

王垣鑫:欧央行利率维稳,金价高位大挫后保持震荡

昨日金价维持震荡整理录得十字星K线形态,目前价格有跌破日线MA5均线支撑的迹象,另外MACD指标也开始向下拐头,暗示价格或有机会开启回调阶段,但目前该区间内多空双方争夺比较激烈,上方2000整数大关的反压情况需要重点留意。

另一方面,昨日价格反弹回2000整数大关上方后承压回落,目前四小时级别里看到价格有构建头肩顶右肩形态的迹象,若日内价格再度出现回落动作的话,下方需要重点留意1970一线支撑,一旦跌破或将以头肩顶形态开启新一轮大幅度回落走势。


本文来源: 大田环球贵金属

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