熊傲君:黄金价格维持震荡,但白银意外异军突起!
关键词:黄金市场局势,白银价格走势
导语:进入本周后的汇市市场整体依然静局,因为暂时没有太重要的市场基本面公布,不过在贵金属市场里面,黄金虽然仍旧保持震荡为主,但是白银却意外有所崛起,尽管幅度不算惊人,但相比起黄金,节奏是明显加速的,所以在2022里面,我们不可以仅关注黄金价格的前景,说不定白银方面也会为大家带来惊喜。
黄金一度创低,但整体仍震荡
黄金价格在昨日盘中一度出现回落,从1820上方一路跌至周内新低1810下方,不过随后获得支撑有所回升,整体下跌的空间还是受到限制,目前依然处于震荡的模式当中,除非有效击破1800-1830区域,否则近期的方向和运行也基本会在此处完成。本周的市场基本面比较有限,所以对于金价的刺激力度也不会太强烈。
美联储最早将从3月启动加息,2022年预计加息四次。随着投资者为迎接比预期更加鹰派的美联储做好准备,美债收益率一直在上升,但美元指数年初至今承压。目前市场的焦点已经放在美联储将于下周召开的政策会议,不过已基本被提前消化的情况下,也不一定会对黄金带来太强烈的压制效果。
美元同步反弹,白银悄悄回升
之所以金价在昨日出现了承压,很大程度上是因为美元指数方面的回升,在95一线企稳支撑后出现了明显反扑,并且回到了95.5的上方,这主要是美债收益率的拉动,由于美债收益率触及两年的新高,持续承压的美元终于被带飞。不过,虽然黄金承压,但一直与其走势节奏相近的白银却不同意,在毫无征兆的情况击破了近两个月的高位。
美国10年期国债收益率攀升至两年高点1.853%,降低了黄金吸引力。黄金被认为是通胀的对冲工具,但金价对美国升息高度敏感,升息增加了持有不生息资产黄金的机会成本。与此同时,美国货币市场的持续抛售削弱了投资者对高风险资产的偏爱,这一点从股市转跌中可以明显看出。这进一步令作为避险工具的美元受益。
由于下周就要公布今年最新的美联储利率决议,所以当前市场还是处于一个比较谨慎的状态,这也导致黄金价格近期的波动范围有所收窄,尽管已基本消化的加息的预期,但毕竟有可能出现其他意外因素,因此基本上投资者也会暂时先观望等待会议的最终结果出炉。
本文来源: 大田环球贵金属
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