王垣鑫：鲍威尔释放鹰派能量，非农或成趋势催化剂
关键词：十二月非农，非农前瞻
导语：今日晚间美盘将公布一月一度的非农数据。10月非农数据公布之后现货黄金价格持续推升，最高一度上探1876一线位置。但在一段时间的高位震荡后，多头未能进一步发力随后价格出现大幅高位回落，目前金价已经跌破1800整数关口并回落至1770附近位置，十一月份的涨幅已经基本收回，本次非农数据的公布将成为金价多头反弹的救命稻草还是催命符呢？我们拭目以待。
大田环球贵金属提示：2021年12月公布的为2021年11月非农数据
- 市场基本面
美联储主席释放鹰派信号。
美联储公布利率决议维稳于0%-0.25%区间。
初请失业金人数首次降至200万以下。
- 数据分析
美国10月新增非农就业人口53.10万，高于预期的增加45万，前值从增加19.4万上修至增加31.2万；美国10月失业率录得4.60%，分别低于预期值0.1个百分点和低于前值0.2个百分点。不过美国10月劳动参与率不及预期0.1个百分点，持平前值61.60%。
- 技术面走势
昨日金价在亚盘开盘后震荡下行，虽然欧盘时段在1768一线受支撑出现一轮反弹走势，但价格在反抽确认1780一线位置压力之后迅速回落，近期低点被刷新至1762一线附近，目前价格正于1770附近位置进行交投。
- 非农布局参考
近段时间金价持续回落收回十一月上旬开始的涨幅，虽然短时间内金价在1760附近出现反弹但整体表现仍非常弱势。晚间非农数据公布之后，若价格突破1780一线位置，则后市或将能看到再度测试1800整数关口的情况；但若价格转头突破1760低位，则后市或将只能在1740-1750区间内找到比较良好的支撑。
（建议仅供参考，入市有风险，投资需谨慎）
本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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