王垣鑫:多头再度发力失败,提防后市大幅度回调
昨日金价亚盘开盘小幅回踩1842一线位置之后,午间再度向上走高不过上方1863-1865区间压力效果强劲,金价多头虽然一直保持强势但截至目前为止仍未能成功取得突破,现价段价格正在高位进行横盘震荡整理。
美国通胀肆虐会导致实际财富缩水
随着美国通胀跃升至1990年以来最高水平,桥水创始人达利欧周四敲响警钟,并提醒追随者们:投资组合价值上升并不真的代表财富增加。“有些人误以为自己变得更富有,因为他们看到自己的资产价格上涨,却没有看到他们的购买力正在受到侵蚀,”达利欧发帖写道。“最受伤的是那些持有现金的人。”
美国10月CPI创下31年来最高水平
美国10月CPI环比增长0.9%,为四个月来最大升幅。这进一步表明,随着美国企业通过涨价将高成本转嫁给消费者,经济的通胀压力在持续升高。在需求强劲的背景下,由于供应链瓶颈和劳动力短缺推高了成本,企业一直在稳步提高消费品和服务价格。多个经济学家包括一些美联储官员预计,通胀压力会持续到明年。
昨日金价回踩日线MA5均线附近位置确认支撑效果后再度走高,不过未能成功刷新高点。目前日线MACD指标双线保持金叉向上运行,均线簇亦有形成多头排列的迹象,暗示后市金价仍有进一步走强的机会,不过由于KDJ指标三线持续于高位运行有调整的需求,后市需要继续重点留意MA5均线的支撑有效性。
不过需要注意的是,小级别方面目前有向下跌破四小时MA5均线支撑的迹象,虽然短时间内均线簇呈现出多头排列的形态,但由于四小时级别MACD指标双线高位二次金叉后,一旦高位出现死叉后市将会有强烈的回调需求,或将会带动价格出现较大幅度的回落。所以白天时间留意MA5和MA10两道均线的支撑效果,一旦跌破的话可以视为回调开启的参考信号。
本文来源: 大田环球贵金属
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