熊傲君：不争气！上周金价再现虎头蛇尾！
导语：随着市场进一步消化美联储缩减规模的预期，上周黄金价格一度迎来了大幅上涨，并且相当接近企稳1800的大关。不过去到了周五时段，由于美国经济数据表现发挥出色，再加上美债收益率的回升，使得金价再次承压，跌回至1770下方，多头的反扑继续被熄灭，上演虎头蛇尾的无奈走势。
黄金价格一度突破1800
上周的黄金市场走势可谓十分之精彩，此前的非农就业数据表现相当低迷，但反而没有帮助黄金上涨多少。然而随着美债收益率以及美元的双双和回落，金价却突然爆发，让人看到了多头的希望，就在此时市场再给出当头一棒，重新迎来了集堆的利空消息情况下，金价基本收回了大部分涨幅，在1800大关之际折戟沉沙。
上半周，因美国国债收益率回调，令投资者转向黄金以对冲通胀风险，金价似乎在很大程度上忽视了美国上周就业数据好转，一度涨至1800关口附近，为9月16日以来新高。市场认为投资者终于意识到，从历史上看，无论美联储怎么做，不断上升的通胀都有利于黄金，所以选择持有黄金进行避险并没有太大坏处。
强劲经济数据成为拦路虎
令人可惜的是，即使单个交易日大涨近40美元，也没有办法让黄金价格成功企稳，这主要可能在于目前市场的整体基本面还是偏利空有关。毕竟无论如何，美联储都将会在今年采取行动，进行对购债规模缩减，再加上明年加息的概率不断上升，所以黄金想要回到多头极强的阶段，似乎难度还是非常之大。
尽管黄金被认为是一种对冲通胀的工具，但未来缩减刺激措施和加息预期推高了限制了美债收益率的回调空间，周五美债收益率反弹，令金价大幅承压。在零售销售强劲之后，美国经济前景好于预期，金价遭遇巨量卖单的冲击。具体数据显示，美国9月零售销售月率实际公布0.7%，远高于预期的-0.2%。
从目前的节奏来看，黄金经过上周的先涨后跌，现阶段已经重回了震荡偏弱的局势，一旦本周周初没办法获得支撑反弹，那么后期将会将会继续承压下压，换言之上周的局部暴涨变得毫无意义。因此，本周的众多美联储官员讲话，或会进一步决定黄金的命运。
本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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