王垣鑫：扭转还是挣扎？提防后市出现大幅跌势
本周金价自1810一线受阻后开启高位回落走势，MACD指标双线也在进行顶背离形态的调整。昨日金价亚盘开盘后震荡走低，晚间美盘在短暂虚破前低位置后，于1780附近受支撑迅速反弹，目前金价反弹过程仍在持续，经过两轮下探测试后1780一线位置基本被站稳。
欧洲央行愿采取行动应对溢出效应
欧洲央行首席经济学家Lane表示，当美联储开始缩减购债时，欧洲央行不会被动旁观。如果对欧元区金融条件产生溢出效应，我们愿意并能够采取适当行动，正如我们已经展现的那样。危机阶段持续，下行风险很大，紧急抗疫购债计划是一项危机工具，结束紧急抗疫购债计划并不代表欧洲央行在量化宽松方面的作用结束
卡普兰不建议同时减码QE和加息
达拉斯联储主席卡普兰维持自己对美国经济前景的预期不变，仍然倾向于FOMC在9月份货币政策会议上宣布开始减码QE的决定。主张美联储不要同时实施减码QE和加息，倾向于美联储迅速启动减码QE进程，并循序渐进地推进。倾向于美联储减码QE的行动持续八个月左右。随着新冠疫苗接种率的提高，看见更多的经济韧性。美联储债券购买行动支持需求，但需求端本来就不是一个问题。债券购买的意外影响和副作用让卡普兰感到忧心忡忡。
昨日金价探低回升录得带长下影线的K线，目前MA5和MA10均线仍在向上运行，表示当前均线仍不具备压力的作用，MACD指标双线也还没有发出死叉信号。如果短时间内金价能重新冲上并站稳1796上方，后市仍有进一步延续低位反弹走势的机会。
不过日内方面，MACD指标双线在进行顶背离形态的调整，昨日金价在两度测试低位后站稳反弹，MACD指标双线也伴随有金叉变盘的迹象，暗示价格走势已经重新进入方向选择期，如果金价日内未能站稳并重新回落的话，MACD指标双线将重新打开死叉并进入0轴下方的空方市场区域内，则后市价格或将迎来更大的跌幅。
本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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