王垣鑫：金价反弹70美元！后市趋势是否已经逆转？
在经过开盘时的大幅跳空低开过程后，本周大部分时间现货黄金价格以震荡反弹走势为主。目前，金价自低位1688一线位置，最高已经反弹近70美元幅度，虽然期间金价不乏出现向上攻击的动作，但截止至目前为止，仍没有看到有成功站稳到周初跳空缺口上方的迹象，现价段价格仍徘徊于1750-1758区间内。
美国初请失业金人数持续下滑
美国上周首申人数37.5万人，与预期值持平，前值为38.5万人。这是美国首申人数连续第三周下降，进一步表明劳动力市场正在复苏。随着经济活动回暖，企业状况改善并持续填补职位空缺，美国今年以来首次申领失业救济人数大致呈下降趋势。虽然未来数月该数据可能会继续下滑，但德尔塔变异病毒或将对复苏步伐构成风险。
美联储逆回购工具使用规模激增
周四有74家机构在美联储隔夜逆回购操作中存入1.087万亿美元资金，规模创最高纪录。这个结果并不是很出人意料，但确实让短期资金市场失衡导致短端利率下行压力加剧的状况再次成为焦点。市场观察人士押注，随着美国财政部减少国库券供应和为了避免突破债务上限而削减现金储备，美联储隔夜逆回购工具的受欢迎程度可能会进一步上升。
目前虽然价格已经一度回补跳空缺口，虽然日内金价有机会出现进一步反弹，但由于目前时间已经临近周末，一旦跨过周末休市时间后下周周线级别MA5均线压力就会自1780上方下移。本周金价低位大幅反弹主要是由于大级别均线压力大幅度远离现价，后市压力到位后金价的反弹走势在短时间内或将难以延续，所以建议短时间内看多的投资者尽量以小区间为盈利目标。
日内方面，在经过本周四天时间的低位震荡反弹过程后，目前价格于跳空缺口下方徘徊。虽然MACD指标双线维持金叉上行，但整体仍处于0轴下发区间内，表示目前仍处于空方市场，所以在大级别压力到位后不排除价格重新开启新一轮下行走势，今日白天时间段建议继续留意1758-1760区间的压力效果。
本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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