王垣鑫：1795-1800支撑强劲！现货黄金回归震荡
本周金价一直延续高位回落走势，虽然整体的回落幅度并不大，但MA5均线一直为价格提供有效的压制效果。昨日金价亚盘开盘后进一步延续下跌走势，欧盘短暂刺破1795一线位置后反弹，后市站稳1795一线位置后重新返回1800整数关口上方，但承压于1808-1810区间，目前价格震荡调整于1800整数关口上方。
欧央行利率决议维稳
欧洲央行行长拉加德称如果要想加息，通胀率不能低于2％。第三季度有望强劲增长，预计明年一季度恢复到疫情前水平。预计通胀上升的情况是暂时的，中期通胀前景远低于欧洲央行的目标。目前，绝大多数官员支持调整前瞻指引，没有讨论紧急抗疫购债计划（PEPP）的未来。拉加德认为9月的预测更能说明经济前景，将影响欧洲央行未来的政策。
美国或最快10月触及债务上限
当地时间7月21日，美国国会预算办公室表示，除非美国国会提高或暂停债务上限，否则美国可能在今年10月或11月出现债务违约。美国国会预算办公室当天发布报告说，根据2019年8月生效的跨党派预算法案，美国国会同意暂时取消债务上限的限制、允许美国财政部发行新债直至2021年7月31日；从今年8月1日开始，债务上限将恢复生效。如果美国国会不通过新的立法提高债务上限或者暂停其生效，美国财政部将不能继续发行新债，只能启动非常规现金管理措施来偿还债务。
昨日金价探低回升录得带下影线的K线，暗示下方支撑效果强劲，但上方仍承压于MA5均线下方，由于MACD指标双线粘合没有发出明确信号，短时间内建议先留意下方1795-1800区间的支撑效果。近期金价多次测试下方1795一线附近，也就是前方宽幅震荡整理区间底部支撑位置，均未能取得有效突破，暗示价格目前有重回震荡趋势的迹象，白天时间留意1810一线反压，一旦突破有机会进一步往1816-1820区间靠拢。
本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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