王垣鑫：多头上行一波多折，晚间留意美国恐怖数据
昨天金价经过亚盘时段短暂震荡过程后，欧盘开始迅速走高并到达日内高点，也就是1834附近位置，不过后市并未能站稳价格在傍晚时段迅速回落，下方1820一线支撑效果良好，金价回踩后出现反弹但截至目前为止仍承压于1830下方。
美联储主席鲍威尔在7月15日参议员听证会上称，FOMC将在未来数周讨论美国国债和抵押贷款支持证券（MBS）的购买事宜，相比减码QE，美联储在加息问题上所面临的考验更大。鲍威尔重申如果通胀预期上升过多，美联储将做出反应，不过不认为会出现广泛的通胀压力。
另外，美国芝加哥联储主席埃文斯认为，仍然需要评估需要实现的进展，至少会在几次会议上讨论减码QE。埃文斯称自己相信价格压力是暂时的，如果年底失业率降至4.5%，美联储可能会调整政策。埃文斯认为美国将在年底看到实质性的进一步进展，他的预期和美国将在2024年加息一致。
我们从现货黄金日线图上可以看到，昨日金价冲高回落录得带上影线的K线形态，不过整体仍处于MA5均线上方，且进一步突破前一天的高位，暗示多头走势仍在持续过程当中。目前MACD指标双线持续金叉，但KDJ指标三线走高有调整需求，后市继续留意MA5均线的支撑效果。
金价在突破1815一线位置化解顶背离调整过程后未能进一步延续上涨趋势，目前1830成为金价上方主要的滞高位置。MACD指标双线有拐头粘合的迹象，日内需要留意1820-1830区间及后市的突破方向，这或将成为后市趋势方向的重要参考依据。晚间美国将公布零售销售数据，届时或将引发行情大幅波动，需做好风控保护。
本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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