熊傲君:黄金击穿1900大关,勇往直前理应顺势为王!
导语:在沉寂了近一周后,黄金多头再次迎来了大爆发,本保持着相对高位震荡的情况下,市场继续对金价造成利好,导致昨晚美盘时段,黄金价格成功突破之余,更是一举击穿1900大关。现阶段来看,黄金的上行节奏非常完美,我们应该继续贯彻顺势交易的原则,直至有明显的转折点出现之前,才需要调整思路。
美国经济复苏再存疑虑
尽管在此前一段时间里面,我们看到了美国市场通胀率的急速上升,使得当时市场认为美联储很可能会采取行动提早加息,不过美联储却一直保持着相当清晰的宗旨,就是离调整货币政策还有相当长的路要走。随着近段时间美国经济数据开始出现矛盾点。这让美联储的言论更加可信,所以第一季度的利空因素可以说消失殆尽。
美元指数及美债收益率再度下滑,且周二公布的数据普遍有所下降,尤其是谘商会消费者信心指数表现不佳,让市场相信美联储强调的高通胀是暂时的观点,另外下周的美国非农数据也非常关键,以为目前都比较担忧美国的就业市场依然面临困境,在种种因素的影响下,表明美国的经济复苏并不如理想。
技术面已形成强劲上行趋势
在基本面的持续利好下,黄金实际上已经形成了良好的反弹的势头,在进入四月份之后,金价逐步突破前期的关键反压,包括1800的大关,而随后经历一段时间的高位盘整后,进一步突破了1850,再到今日创下近期新高,回到了1900的上方,每一步上行黄金都走得相当稳健,可见多头的力量非常稳固。
现阶段,黄金周线图已经重新回到了反弹的趋势过程当中,大有形成V字反转的格局,不过现在谈论空间还是为时尚早,后市还需要关注延续的力度,但至少从各项指标的情况来判断,周线图的走势比较乐观。而其他级别图形则更加清晰,包括日线图和4小时级别图,都是单边上行节奏,只需要注意指标的修复即可。
在市场基本面和技术面的同步乐观环境下,目前黄金的交易思路就变得比较简单了,我们不要去进行猜顶的动作,而是理应顺势贯彻为主,根据每天的欧美盘节奏,结合均线寻找压力支撑,耐心等待低多的机会,自然能够大大提升胜算。
本文来源: 大田环球贵金属
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