王垣鑫：耶伦引发市场大幅波动，加息言论腰斩金价涨势
本周金价开盘后反弹势头较为强劲，虽然价格连续突破1780、1790两道关键反压位置，但上方的1800整数关口价格两度上攻仍未能成功取得突破。加上耶伦加息言论的影响，金价多头在高位遭腰斩，目前价格重新回落至1770-1780区间内，且高位回落势头仍未有明显的放缓迹象。
加息言论腰斩金价涨势
耶伦在《大西洋月刊》主办的一个经济论坛上表示:“利率可能会有所上升，以确保我们的经济不会过热。尽管这些额外支出相对于经济规模来说相对较小，但可能会导致利率上调一点点。美国的经济需要这些投资来保持竞争力和生产力，我认为美国经济将因为他们而增长得更快。” 耶伦加息言论引发金融市场大幅波动，美元指数得到支撑，美股盘中高位跳水，贵金属由升转跌，国际油价延续上扬态势。不过，之后耶伦又澄清称，她并非干预美联储行动，不是预测也不是建议，她尊重美联储的独立性。
2021美国GDP预计增长
美国达拉斯联储主席卡普兰：预计2021年美国GDP将增长约6.5%。落在美国人身上的新冠肺炎疫情负担不均衡。全球利率下降时因为全球经济增长前景下降。经济增长变得乐观带来的利率提高可能是好事。应当意识到低利率对资产价格的影响。担心过度冒险。预计通胀将升高，而在年底时将缓和在2.25%附近，美联储的使命仍是将通胀预期锚定在2%。
从现货黄金日线图看，在四月份中下旬金价上攻1800未果后，近日金价再度测试1800关口依然失败，MACD指标双线有进一步延续死叉过程的迹象，若后市价格进一步延续高位回落走势，有构成双顶看空形态的风险，下方重点留意1755-1760区间的支撑效果。
再看看四小时图，昨日晚间金价短时间内冲高回落，再度确认1800整数关口的压力效果。目前MACD指标双线重新开始死叉过程，配合KDJ指标的三线死叉信号，短时间内留意1780-1782区间的反压情况，若压力生效配合指标信号或暗示后市仍有进一步延续回落走势。
本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
最新内容
相关阅读
Risk Warning
Trading bullion and financial instruments carries significant risks and may not be suitable for all investors, requiring careful consideration of investment objectives, experience, and risk tolerance. Key risks include market volatility, leverage risks that can amplify gains or losses, liquidity issues that may prevent executing trades at desired prices, and technical failures in online trading systems. Prices fluctuate unpredictably, and past performance does not guarantee future results. CIDT Global Bullion Limited provides general market commentary but does not offer investment advice and is not liable for any losses incurred from reliance on its information, which may change without notice.
Jurisdiction Disclaimer
CIDT Global Bullion Limited's services are subject to local regulations and may not be available in all jurisdictions. Users are responsible for ensuring compliance with their local laws. Services are not provided in regions where they are prohibited by law, under international sanctions, or require licensing that the company does not hold. By using the platform, users confirm they are not in a restricted jurisdiction and accept full responsibility for legal compliance. The company reserves the right to decline or terminate services in restricted areas without prior notice.