王垣鑫：数据利多提振美元反弹，金价本周或止步1800
本周金价在周初经历一段回踩过程后，于1764一线大幅反弹破高，最高一度接近1800整数关口。不过，昨日金价自亚盘开盘后开始高位震荡回落走势，回落走势一直维持到半夜的时间回落幅度最多达到22美元，但金价在1776-1778区间再度受到支撑后震荡走高，虽然今日早间价格进一步反弹到1790一线位置，但目前来看多头力度暂时还有所欠缺。
拜登将建议对富裕阶层加税
美国总统拜登计划对富裕的美国人征收39.6%的资本利得税，并对他们的投资收入加征3.8%的附加税，拜登的税收计划将体现在美国家庭计划中，征税对象为那些年收入超过100万美元的群体，拜登的税收计划将意味着加州56.7%的总体资本利得将被课税，纽约州52.22%的总体资本利得将被课税。
欧洲央行未讨论逐步退出PEPP计划
欧洲央行行长拉加德预计今年经济活动将出现强劲反弹，她认为维持有利的融资条件至关重要，重申欧洲央行非常宽松的货币政策立场，潜在价格压力仍将受到抑制，基础价格压力依然疲软，欧洲央行将监控汇率对通胀前景的影响。拉加德称经济形势仍存在不确定性，欧洲央行没有设定汇率目标，经济有明显的改善迹象，但压力也在持续，风险评估和三月份的一样。拉加德认为目前讨论逐步退出PEPP计划为时过早，PEPP的步伐取决于数据而非时间。并强调美国经济和欧元区经济并不同步，欧洲央行的政策也不会与美联储同步。
我们从现货黄金盘面的日线级别上看，可以发现昨日金价虽然出现较大幅度回落，但收盘价仍被MA5均线所支撑，而今日价格再度从MA5均线附近拉起，配合MACD指标双线的金叉信号，暗示了目前的震荡反弹过程或仍有机会进一步延续，不过KDJ指标三线走高表示有调整的需求，这种情况下后市价格上行将会更加依赖MA5均线的支撑，所以这也是后市我们的关注重点。
而日内方面，由于昨日金价高位回落虽然没有破坏近段时间的震荡上行走势形态，但MACD指标双线出现死叉信号，形成了顶背离的形态代表趋势有机会出现转折。虽然可以看到今天早间价格再度拉起，但MA5均线仍在下行过程当中，下行的均线只提供压力不提供支撑，所以今天价格有没有机会延续反弹，可以在亚欧盘时段需留意均线有没有从压力转变成支撑的迹象，点位上也可以留意1782-1790区间的突破方向。
本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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