王垣鑫：暴涨！金价踩稳颈线能否续写多头传奇
本周二金价从1724一线重新拉起，虽然短时间内仍未能站稳1740一线关键位置，但昨天早间金价经过一段时间横盘震荡整理过程后开始向上发力。欧盘时段价格就已经回到了前天的起跌位置1748一线附近，晚间美盘金价进一步走高，最高一度触及1770附近刷新近2个月以来的新高，虽然后市价格自高位有所回落，但目前仍处于1760附近高位，表现相对强势。
缩减购债时机仍未到来
旧金山联储主席戴利周四表示，美国经济距离向美联储设定的2%通胀和充分就业目标取得“实质性进展”还很远，远未到需要美联储减少对经济支持的时候。戴利表示，“我们还没有到那一步”，并指出仍有数百万美国人失业，尽管物价料在未来数月暂时上涨，但通胀仍“远”未持续性地达到美联储的目标。戴利表示，她预计今年下半年经济活动将大幅反弹，明年增长将放缓，并警告不要对强劲的经济数据反应过度。
梅斯特乐观看待经济前景
美国克利夫兰联储主席梅斯特周四表示，在企业努力应对供应链干扰、价格从疫情早期触及的低位反弹之际，近期通胀数据正在上升，但随着时间推移，这些挑战得到解决，价格增长可能会放缓。梅斯特在一次线上活动中表示并不太担心通胀升得太高，通胀预期小幅上升并不令人担忧，因为这些预期一直低于美联储的目标。她预计美国经济今年将增长6%或更多，失业率到年底将降至4.5%或更低。
金价回踩日线级别双底形态颈线位置后再度破高，令日线MACD指标双线重新向上打开，暗示双底形态有确认成功的迹象后市价格有望进一步走高，不过短时间内我们仍需要留意日线MA5均线的支撑确认情况，若确认成功后市价格有望完成双底形态剩下的上涨幅度进一步往1800整数关口进发。
而四小时级别方面，在本周初金价拉高回落后昨日金价出现破高，目前MACD指标双线已经发出金叉信号，暗示短时间内有形成新一轮上行走势的迹象，今日亚欧盘时段留意1755-1760区间的支撑。
本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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