王垣鑫：现货黄金强劲反弹，周线突破或指日可待
关键词：现货黄金，走势分析
本周现货黄金价格在开盘向下测试1820一线支撑成功后，剩余时间一直保持震荡反弹走势。虽然价格在收复1865一线失地后仍出现回落调整，但经过确认后下方1845一线支撑有效，价格随后进一步扩大反弹趋势，昨日晚间更是将周内高点推升至1896附近，距离1900整数关口仅一步之遥。虽然日内出现较大幅度回落，但后市涨势仍可继续期待。
美联储利率维稳，英国或无协议脱欧
昨日凌晨联邦公开市场委员会一致同意，政策利率联邦积极利率维稳，将目标水平保持在0-0.25%不变，整体符合市场的预期。但与前三次会议有别的是，此次美联储称将将保持当前的购债规模，直至就业和通胀的双重目标取得实质性进展。同时根据点阵图显示，储官员仍预计未来三年不会加息。美联储主席鲍威尔在稍后的新闻发布会上称未来几个月将充满挑战，如有需要的话美联储将扩大债券购买力度，调整所购买债券的久期。不过在缩减债券购买之前，美联储将提前很久发出警告，并且在美国通胀重回正轨之前，将不会提前进行加息。
脱欧方面，英国首相约翰逊强调说目前谈判形势严峻，而且时间非常紧迫，现阶段除非欧盟立场发生重大变化，否则非常可能达不成协议。目前正尽一切努力，满足欧盟在公平竞争环境问题上的合理要求。但即便分歧已经缩小，在一些基本领域仍存在困难。英国首相重申了时间所剩无几的紧迫性，并表示如果无法达成协议，英国和欧盟将友好分手，之后英国将按澳大利亚式条款与欧盟进行贸易。
金价强劲反弹，涨幅保留程度或决定后市方向
昨日金价在亚盘开盘后进一步延续多头走高，价格直接越过1875一线的起跌位置，到达下一个起跌压力区间，也就是1900下方后才出现承压回落动作。目前反弹高点已经刷新至1896一线，虽然早间价格已经回落近20美元，但从日线级别上看仍处于MA5支撑均线上方，若能站稳1870一线支撑，或将本周大部分涨幅保留至周线收线时间，在突破周线MA5压力后，后市有结束周线现阶段高位回落走势的机会，后市进一步往1916-1930区间反弹。
本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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