熊傲君:非农数据再添助力,多头火焰冉冉升起!
关键词:现货黄金上涨,非农就业数据
导语:上周整体金价的表现算是相当不俗,在经历了前期的高位回落后,终于重新企稳阵脚,收复1800关口,短线上可谓有卷土重来的迹象,不过目前尚未完全稳定下来,还要等待后续的市场基本面提供支撑。其中,年尾的经济数据和利率决议将非常关键,而马上有望达成的刺激计划,也可以帮助多头进一步燃起。
非农数据大幅不及预期
在上周五公布的非农数据当中,意外仅录得24.5万,大幅不及预期,这让市场对于美国的就业环境再次引起忧虑,由于此前二次疫情的爆发,就业市场果不其然恶化,也导致了美联储官员和新任总统拜登纷纷表态,认为刺激计划需尽快出炉,这无疑为金价注入了一支强心针。
而正好在本月中旬,就会迎来非常关键的美联储利率决议,在目前经济的压力下,美联储很可能会释放更多的鸽派信号,甚至加大宽松的力度,如果刺激计划同步顺利进行,这是双线利多的局面,正在逐渐升起的金价多头,有望再加一把大火,扫除此前因避险情绪急剧降温的阴霾。
本周1850将是关键缺口
虽然多头信号明确,但是上周五金价却没有进一步上行,最终还是受压于1850一线的反压,可见多头想要进一步延续,还需要在技术面当中加速爆发,本周的消息面相对比较平淡,正是技术盘面发挥的时候,只要在短时间内尽快突破1850,才能更好地打开后市的空间,所以周初需尤其注意。
目前市场看涨的气氛还是比较浓厚的,周线上的均线下压是一个不太好的信号,MA5已经下至1845下方,今日金价波动暂时不大,可能也是因为受到此处的压制,不过好消息是MACD指标的死叉结束接近尾声,鉴于整个周线的趋势未改的情况下,调整结束或者正是意味着多头反攻的开始。
综上所述,目前我们去看待黄金价格的前景,需要结合多方因素,从市场基本面来说,目前是相当不错的信号,并且在本月都值得期待,而从技术面上来看,则依然存在较多不确定性,尤其一些主要位置尚未突破都会影响,在市场心理上,多方稍占优,在2020年收官之前,黄金会留下怎样一个句号呢?
本文来源: 大田环球贵金属
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