熊傲君:1760支撑果然大显神通,刺激计划救驾来迟!
关键词:现货黄金走势,美国刺激方案
导语:在经历灰色的一周后,金价终于月线收官,连续的下滑导致金价已经跌至1800的下方,不过正如此前强调过的,1760是黄金分割线的50%位置,可能是相当关键的支撑,果不其然在十二月的首日马上迎来反扑,当然刺激计划的利好消息也是帮了一个大忙!
日线依然任重而道远
虽然经过昨晚美盘的反弹,金价已经回到了1800上方,但目前尚不可理解为多头强势复苏,只是支撑的反应表现为主,离七八月份的强势还差的远。要想回到当时的局面,除了需要市场基本面的配合外,技术面也需要一关一关去进行修复,短线级别节奏已经慢慢回暖,但日线还需要保持延续。
尤其是上方的MA20还在向下施压,所以对于金价而言,首先就要先突破掉MA20的位置,然后再向此前的起跌位置进发。也就是说,只有1900的上方,才算是结束了日线的回调格局,重新回到多方趋势当中。在本年度的最后一个月份里面,绝对还有好戏上演,月中的美联储决议和潜在的刺激计划都会是关键所在。
美国会加紧推动计划
在金价危机关头,市场上终于打破了沉寂,一连串的刺激计划提案,令一路受到疫苗好消息打压的黄金市场迎来转机,因为其未来的趋势,归根到底还是却取决于刺激计划和货币政策。美国会两院周二分别推出三份有关经济刺激计划的提案,促使投资者对未来形成通胀预期。
在围绕新一轮疫情救济措施的僵局持续六个月之后,新的提案突然浮出水面。近期有证据显示,随着此前的财政支持措施用尽,病例激增正在损害经济复苏势头。当选总统拜登周二在任命其经济团队的同时呼吁国会通过一项强劲的援助法案。除此之外,美联储主席鲍威尔也重申,将会继续加大宽松的政策力度。
由此可见,金价多头虽然在短期遇到了滑铁卢,但塞翁失马焉知非福,说不定正是这种幅度的回调,才能在长线上走得更加稳固,明年在全新的美国局面上,金价又会迎来什么契机呢,至此,仍然可以保持信心。
本文来源: 大田环球贵金属
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