熊傲君：风险市场迎来春天！美股大涨黄金黯然失色！
关键词：美国股市大涨，现货黄金下跌
导语：本周开盘以来，黄金价格喋喋不休，失去了此前的超级上涨魔力，多头暂时退出舞台。由于疫苗不断传来好声音，有望解决目前相当严峻的公共卫生事件，加上美国部分经济数据出现明显复苏，都使得市场风险情绪高涨，避险情绪降温，所以本周美股迎来了春天，而黄金则有人欢喜有人愁。
美股创下里程碑
昨晚美盘时段，代表美股之一的道指飙升逾400点，史上首次成功收于30000点关口上方，创下具有里程碑意义的整数位，这也进一步吸引投资者增持，纷纷购入受经济复苏的股票，尤其是在科技股的推动下，走势更加凌厉。除了疫苗带来的利多因素外，美联储继续释放宽松流动性的前景也是推动股价上行的关键所在。
其余两大指数也随之上扬，标普500指数收盘涨幅达1.62%，纳斯达克指数收盘上涨幅度为1.31%。在11个行业板块中，还有4个依然比标普500指数2月19日创新高时低了至少8%。因此，不少投资者认为，标普也还有上升的潜力，当资金开始不断流入股票市场的时候，自然黄金和美元都会受到严重的影响。
黄金或考验大支撑
受美股的刺激下，本周金价可谓虎落平阳被犬欺，继月初失守1900大关后，昨晚更是多次考验1800关口，不过暂时勉强能够守住，但是也已经跌破了不少前期的关键支撑，目前的技术面来看，也没有丝毫多头可以快速振作的信号。一旦击穿1800，后市可能面临更大的调整，进一步考验下方的转折性支撑。
不过鉴于此前上行的趋势时间和力度，目前大级别来说仍未破坏，周线图的黄金分割线半分位将是关键所在，后市可以关注好1760的位置。另外，市场基本面虽然近期有所转向，但要考虑好明年的宽松货币政策，以及拜登正式上台后必然会重启刺激方案，这都会再次对黄金造成大背景的利好。
总的来说，就是目前短期毫无疑问是空头占优的阶段，交易上应该尽量作为主旋律，但是那句话，中长线的角度暂时未有改变的情况，除非美联储开始考虑加息等经济明显复苏的迹象，大家做好短长周期的分工合作即可。
本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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