熊傲君:好消息!黄金价格多头终于迎来重磅炸弹!
关键词:黄金价格上涨,利好金价因素
导语:自经济遭遇重挫以来,黄金价格一直处于高位当中,不过由于市场采取了各项的政策后并没有更多的后文,也使得黄金多头的强势局面暂时有所收敛,保持了近两个多月的宽幅震荡走势。而近期,影响黄金短期走势的毫无疑问是财政刺激方案,当然后续的脱欧情况和美国大选也属于潜在的风险因素。
刺激方案有望即将达成一致
在持续的僵持后,近日刺激方案似乎终于传来了乐观的声音,有望在谈判当中达成一致,这对于黄金多头来说,犹如获得了强心针。美国众议院议长佩洛西周二表示,她对本周就一项刺激方案达成一致抱有希望,这对在大选之前通过相关议案至关重要,也提升了市场对大选前出台新一轮刺激计划的预期。
刺激计划的影响力牵动着整个金融市场,包括美股,美元和黄金都在观察其进展,标普500指数周一跌1.6%,周二在佩洛西指出取得进展后一度涨1.5%。美元指数周二下跌,也一度创下近一个月的新低。当然在目前的阶段,黄金也许很难再复制此前的强势节奏,毕竟后续大选也是近在眼前,但至少对于短期的方向可能会变得更加清晰一些,具体情况也是今明两日投资者需要重点关注。
金融超级月正在向市场挥手
离十一月份已经越来越迫近了,首先登场的就是万众瞩目的大选,这场决战将在11月3日举行,相信四年前大家已经见识过威力,在目前的非常时期下,造成的结果可能有过之而无不及。其后马上到来的就是11月5日凌晨的美联储利率决议,很可能会就刺激计划和大选结果发表言论,以及会否会对政策作出调整的可能。
你以为已经完了?还没有!星期五紧接着就是非农数据的公布,根据近段时间疫情再度恶化,美国的就业市场是否仍在恶化当中,也是市场非常期待的事情。此外,潜在的硬脱欧风险依然挥之不去,英国和欧盟之间关于脱欧后贸易协议的谈判陷入僵局,此前双方首席谈判代表之间的通话没有取得突破。
换言之,近期我们继续先把目光放在刺激计划,观察短期黄金价格的方向是否能够变得清晰一些,到了十一月,尤其是第一个星期,整个金融市场将迎来大风暴,所有资产货币都将迎来新一轮的方向,届时大家要做好充分准备。
本文来源: 大田环球贵金属
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