熊傲君:快涨快跌已成常态,现货黄金暂回1950一线
关键词:现货黄金涨跌,现货黄金行情
导语:本周黄金价格出现非常剧烈的波动,使得整个行情走势发生巨大的转折,尽管从中期来说,现货黄金多头依然有着不少的支撑,但是短线的大幅度波动也足以震惊市场,尤其是在周初,一度下挫超过100美元,随后获得支撑后再次大幅回升,虽然本周没有什么重大消息,不过处于历史位置的金价无疑显得更加不确定。
疫苗问世叠加援助计划
虽然黄金价格目前有所止跌,但毕竟从2070一线下滑至今也超过了100美元的空间,回调的迹象还是相当明显的,造成这种高位获利了结局面的主要原因在于,本周迎来了一些疫情上的好消息。俄罗斯公布新冠病毒疫苗的利好消息持续发酵,同时市场开始认为,全球经济将出现更全面更强劲的复苏。
疫苗如果确认效果,将有效散去持续已久的避险情绪,无疑对金价造成打压。其次,尽管美国众议院议长佩洛西称,民主党和特朗普政府在新一轮疫情援助方案上的观点相差甚远,不过如果援助计划最终能够达成,将很大程度上对美元指数造成利好,从而限制黄金未来上行的空间。
暴跌过后金价逐渐企稳
自上周五非农数据公布后,金价实际上已经开展高位回落的势头,不过来到了本周更是一发不可收拾,其中在周二出现了惊天暴跌,不但跌破2000大关,甚至一度失守1900关口,让投资者较为惊慌,不过幸好随后获得支撑强势反扑,日内上下幅度相当惊人,现阶段,黄金价格已经重新企稳1900上方震荡上行。
目前对于黄金的中长线看法,依然维持不变,多头趋势已定并非能用个别交易日终结,但是短期的不确定性是明显加大的,尤其是目前相对进入了分水岭时期。由于对经济复苏前景的担忧持续存在,以及央行和政府暗示将对经济提供进一步的支持,现货黄金迈向连续两天上涨,较大的波幅或将使得部分稳健投资者寻求更加波动平稳的资产。
总结:目前疫情带来的影响,促使金价上涨很可能也只是第一阶段,后续的持续宽松环境才是进一步的刺激,所以短期出现调整还是比较正常的,毕竟这段上涨近400多美元的行情几乎没有出现较大的修正,经济复苏仍任重道远,美元要重拾涨势困难重重,都会给后市提供支撑,当然短期的操作上要更加严谨地关注好每日的节奏。
本文来源: 大田环球贵金属
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