熊傲君：非农报喜拦截金价，但多头趋势难逆转
关键词：非农数据，现货黄金多头
导语：上一周，现货黄金表现依然靓丽，在周五之前仍然不断刷新历史，直至非农数据公布后出现快速的高位回落，才暂停了金价历史的步伐，并且迎来了罕见的大幅度跳水，不过依然连续第九周收阳。可见，虽然多头的强劲势头受到了阻碍，但现阶段还是难以改变趋势。
非农数据助美元回升
美国劳工部在上周五美盘时段公布的数据显示，美国7月非农就业人口变动季调后176.3万，6月非农就业人口变动季调后修正为479.1万。7月份，休闲和酒店业、政府、零售贸易业、专业和商业服务业、其他服务业和医疗保健领域的就业人数显著增加，增幅创有记录以来第三高水平。
受非农的利好以外，特朗普还加大了联邦救济力度，使得美元短期出现强势低位反扑，创下自6月11日以来的最大涨幅。此前美元指数因为国际形势和持续宽松的环境下，走出了极弱的趋势，一度下跌4%，创下10年来最大月度百分比跌幅，投资者纷纷转向欧元和贵金属。
黄金吸引力依然巨大
尽管黄金价格迎来了二个月以来的最大跌幅，不过考虑黄金今年自低位上涨以来，大回调的次数屈指可数，出现高位修正是非常合理的事情，加上周五收线的缘故，市场选择高位获利了结也是合乎常情，不能说黄金的吸引力已经大幅下降，而且未来还有众多的利好消息在迎接黄金多头。
比如说，现阶段美国正在商讨的援助计划，在与民主党关于疫情纾困计划的又一轮谈判无果而终后，美国财政部长姆努钦称，他将建议总统特朗普采取行政行动，以禁止驱逐租客并可能恢复一些失业救济措施。最近几个月美国政府的大规模支出可能损害美元，从而进一步让美元受压，加上持续宽松还将维持数月，这难以让金价出现大跌。
总结：上周黄金因非农数据出现回调，可能暂时也只是正常的修正局面，至少现阶段来看，难以找到多头趋势改变的更多线索，所以在此之前，还是要保持看多思路，直至市场出现明显的转折点。
本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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