王垣鑫：美联储利率决议前夕，黄金高位区间整理
关键词：美联储，现货黄金，利率决议
本周开盘金价自1905美元/盎司一线大幅走高，周二早间到达1980美元/盎司一线高位后，价格承压迅速回落，短短两小时内收回日内40多美元涨幅，随后进一步将本周内涨幅尽数收回。但后市价格于周一起涨点附近找到支撑再度迅速反弹，今日重新回到1950美元/盎司上方。
美联储利率决议料将维稳
北京时间明日凌晨02：00美联储将公布利率决议，本次利率决议没有点阵图公布。随后于02：30美联储主席鲍威尔，将召开新闻发布会。市场预计美联储将为美国经济维持空前的货币政策支持，同时也由于国会正在讨论下一项财政刺激方案，美联储本周会议可能没有什么新意，即会议结束时发布的政策声明几乎不会有调整。
华尔街投行对7月份美联储会议出现新动向的期望不大，但认为美联储将等到今年晚些时候，宣布其现行政策可能做出的任何改变。另外，富国银行的经济研究小组在7月20日写道，确实希望FOMC采取某种形式，更为明确的前瞻性指引，即使不是在9月的会议上，也是在11月的会议上。
周内关注日线均线支撑
昨日金价高位承压后，出现较大幅度回落。虽然昨天日线收出了带长上下影线的十字星形态，但仅凭一个十字星不能确认是反转还是延续信号，目前价格整体仍维持于日线ma5均线之上，若ma5均线支撑有效，本周将仍有向上冲击的过程。但需要注意周线级别ma5均线支撑仍在1850下方，支撑明显没有到位，具有较为强烈的调整需求，追多主要要控制仓位，并设置好止损保护。
日内建议可以以1945-1950为支撑参考区间，跌破可看回踩日线1930位置，站稳1950看后市有机会进一步往1970一线反弹。跌破日线ma5均线，可看作是往周线ma5均线回踩的信号。
本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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