王垣鑫:日本央行决议前夕,金价保持宽幅震荡
关键词:现货黄金,日本央行
本周现货黄金开盘一路走高,但不敌1813美元/盎司一线压力,短暂震荡后周二跳空低开。虽然周二白天时间主要以震荡回落为主,并跌破1800美元/盎司整数关口,但价格在触及1790美元/盎司一线后迅速反弹。短暂测试后直接重新站上1800美元/盎司上方,目前价格正位于1810美元/盎司压力下方横盘整理。
日本央行料将维稳
今日11:00日本央行将公布利率决议,可能考虑在其主要政策工具上按兵不动,并且不对其经济前景做出大的调整。央行官员在保持高度戒备的同时,希望继续密切监视日本央行自3月以来为应对疫情造成的经济冲击所实施措施的影响。
消息人士透露,日本央行本周将保持货币政策不变,并对经济前景保持谨慎乐观的态度,暗示日本央行已经采取了足够的措施来缓解新冠病毒大流行造成的打击。日本央行可能会略微下调其对截至2021年3月的当前年度经济增长的预测,但将坚持随着疫情减弱,日本经济将在今年晚些时候温和复苏的看法。
现货黄金宽幅震荡
虽然本周初现货黄金多头看似坎坷,但从周线级别上看,金价目前仍处于震荡上行过程当中。ma5支撑均线于价格下方提供支撑,均线簇呈多头排列,暗示目前多头掌控趋势。加上macd指标双线金叉向上运行,不排除金价将在短时间内再度刷新高点。
但kdj指标三线走高超买,也能看出ma5支撑均线的重要性,可以跌破ma5均线为回调开启的信号。日内价格暂时震荡于1810美元/盎司下方,建议留意1800-1810区间,以区间突破方向为参考,上看再度测试1818-1820区间,下看1790-1793区间支撑。
本文来源: 大田环球贵金属
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