熊傲君:击破千八是昙花一现?淡定!现货黄金还有空间!
关键词:现货黄金未来走势,现货黄金上涨行情
导语:现货黄金本周走势继续强势冲高,自上周成功刷新年内高位后,本周多头进一步扩大力度,成功创下近九年多的高点,并且突破企稳1800大关,距离历史前高也已经越来越近,但是昨晚高位迅速获利了结后,似乎1800关口未必能守住,具体还要看周线的收官,不过已经有投资者担心这可能只是一次虚破。
疫情病例飙升 总统人选忧虑
近期黄金之所以走势如此强劲,主要原因还是市场的避险情绪,原以为有望逐渐控制的疫情,却丝毫没有减慢的速度,美国不断新增病例,让经济复苏进度变慢,如果后市出现再次关闭经济大门,那么会让黄金更加受益,而目前特朗普也丝毫不在乎,反而把精力放在总统大选的竞争上。
而在总统竞争的问题上,也出现了很多不确定的因素,即使是新任大热门拜登估计也是个大嘴巴,近期也开始让市场感到一丝担心。美国民主党总统候选人拜登在当地时间周四的一次公开讲话中首度透露了他的经济复兴计划,并砰击称其竞争对手、现任美国总统特朗普在当前的救市行动中把过多精力放在了股市方面。此番言论后让美股大幅跳水。
黄金已破千八 多头仍可信赖
在万众期待下,现货黄金终于在本周成功突破1800大关,不过迅速的回落后也抱有担忧的想法,毕竟黄金虽强,但目前价格很难再触动大量的资金入场,而且如果美股表现不佳,也会再次出现现金流的局面,这会否只是金价的试水突破?其实这还是为时尚早,至少现阶段而言,市场利多的因素还是比较占优。
疫情已经对全球消费造成巨大冲击,虽然世界主要经济体的经济出现复苏迹象,但在疫情持续的情况下依然非常脆弱。这将导致市场避险情绪不退,从而给予金价一定支撑。加上市场将会维持很长一段时间的货币宽松环境,以及未来的各种不稳定因素下,黄金现在谈涨完明显是不理智的。
总结:当然,从短线的角度来说,这次也不一定能够再直接大涨或冲至历史新高等位置,也可能面临短线修整调整,但目前还不是直接看空的时间点,在下半年,多方应该还是占据主旋律,而稳健的做法当然还是等待回撤的机会再进行博弈。
本文来源: 大田环球贵金属
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