王垣鑫：利率决议前夕，金价或将保持震荡
关键词：美联储，现货黄金
现货黄金价格经过一轮震荡反弹过程后，昨日晚间于1720美元/盎司一线受阻。短时间内金价多头暂无进一步战果，现阶段价格于1710-1720区间内震荡整理。金价在短暂虚破1700美元/盎司整数关口后，反弹承压前方起跌压力区间，需注意现时震荡下行走势仍未被破坏，后市仍有延续下跌趋势的可能。
美联储6月利率决议在即
市场目前关注北京时间6月11日02：00的美联储利率决议，以及02：30的鲍威尔新闻发布会。美联储将在多大程度上披露其未来意图，以及对其对经济的看法如何，可能是本周为期两天的会议关键，这一系列结果很有可能会影响市场走势。
由于相比之前的任何一位美联储主席，鲍威尔已经采取了更多的行动，速度也都要更快。而且，美联储已将基准利率降至接近零的水平，并宣布了多项计划，以帮助市场和经济的不同领域。所以，市场预计本次美联储不会对利率或政策采取任何行动。
1710-1720成关键方向选择区间
短时间内金价反弹受阻于1720美元/盎司一线，但从日线级别上看，震荡区间为1670-1750，目前仍处于区间中部位置。虽目前macd指标双线有金叉迹象，但鉴于整体为宽幅震荡，未来金价方向仍需以区间突破方向为参考。
而在区间内，金价目前处于1710-1720位置，虽然短时间内macd指标双线处于死叉过程当中，但晚间将公布美联储利率决议，按以往历史行情来看，美盘前保持区间震荡的概率较大。建议欧盘时段保持震荡思路，留意美盘美联储动态，一旦成功向上突破并站稳1720美元/盎司一线，后市将再度测试日线震荡区间上轨压力。
本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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