王垣鑫：市场关注疫苗进展，黄金收复1750关口
关键字：美国经济，现货黄金
本周开盘金价一路高歌猛进仅在周一亚盘就已经站上1760美元/盎司一线，但随后涨势有所放缓，并在晚间迅速跳水，在收回日内涨幅后进一步回落至1727美元/盎司一线，在昨日金价在欧盘短暂刷新低点后金价迎来反弹，虽欧盘尾段时间仍承压于1740美元/盎司一线，但美盘时段多头进一步发力，震荡上行走势一直维持至今日凌晨，今日亚盘价格再度拉高收复1750美元/盎司一线。
美国经济低迷恐持续
美国国会预算办公室预计，今年第二季度，经通胀调整后的实际GDP将收缩11%，相当于以年率计算下降38%，为历史最大跌幅。同时，二季度就业人数将比2019年第四季度减少近2600万，三季度的失业率将达到顶峰15.8%。该办公室预计今年晚些时候该国的工作岗位将会增加，但总体形势将维持低迷状态至2021年。
另外，美银5月份的基金经理调查显示，超过三分之二的专业投资者对“美股跳脱3月份低点是新牛市的开始”持怀疑态度。美国国会预算办公室发布以上预测后，叠加疫情进展遭怀疑，美股果然很快出现回调。
疫苗相关进展主导金价
昨日因市场质疑候选新冠疫苗的有效性，提振现货黄金价格低位反弹，多数分析将疫情二次爆发的风险视为短期最大的风险，因此近期疫情相关进展的消息或将成为影响黄金走向的关键因素。
技术面上，本周虽金价出现冲高回落，但整体仍维持于周线级别ma5支撑均线上方，且目前均线簇仍呈多头排列，macd指标双线仍在金叉过程当中，暗示当前上涨走势依然存在，配合日线级别上破三角震荡区间，1720-1725区间成多头防守密集区，日内留意1740一线支撑，本周上方主要关注1765附近压力。
本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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