熊傲君:美联储决议震撼来袭,现货黄金行情蓄势待发!
关键词:现货黄金行情,美联储利率决议
导语:今晚凌晨时段,美联储将再度公布利率决议,由于此前的一系列政策,已经把利率降至0的美联储,甚至还开展了无限量宽松,所以本次决议的看点可能是维持多久,而本周以来,现货黄金整体保持宽幅震荡为主,届时会否形成新的短期方向也值得市场投资者重点关注。
美联储能否带来新惊喜?
市场目前普遍预计,美联储将维持基准利率不变,但在目前病毒危机期间,可能会做出一些政策调整以指导市场和改善经济。可能的变化包括:更明确地指导低利率将维持多长时间,其他利率水平和资产购买的修订,旨在降低长期利率水平。今晚需要没有点阵图公布,但主席鲍威尔会出席新闻发布会。
现阶段美国的经济环境遭遇重挫,特别是就业市场极度不佳,而今晚将公布的GDP和PCE数据可能会更清晰地表达这点,周四初请也会再度登场,自今年3月份以来,美国至今已超过2650万人申请失业金救济,抹去了美国历史上最长就业繁荣时期创造的全部就业岗位,预计本周还将有350万人首次申请失业救济。
现货黄金保持谨慎震荡!
除了美联储利率决议外,其实本周还有欧央行决议,但市场目前预计,本周的美欧货币政策将再度分化,欧洲央行可能无动于衷,而美联储可能进一步扩大宽松行动。所以现货黄金暂时还没有太大动静,加上市场焦点集中在原油市场,黄金要冲击新高估计还需一定的实际。
在技术面当中,金价本周主要处于1700上下徘徊,实际上短期方向也确实不太清晰,需要关注本周后续消息的影响,而在长线考虑方面,虽然实物金需求受到冲击,疫情改善也有可能打击多头,但是预计未来的宽松政策将长时间保持得情况下,前景和空间暂时还是可期的。
总结:来到周三,一般我们说是周中转折点,加上晚间多项美国关键数据以及美联储决议的公布,或者可能真的成为了契机,目前投资者应保持耐心,关注消息影响力,判断短期是否能走出方向。
本文来源: 大田环球贵金属
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